Politics

Global Capitalism, in the Age of No Capital

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DollarsThis piece began out of musings on how the current world economic system, could be overturned (or if we were starting from a clean slate) beginning with a new system. to develop a system, that serves everyone.

Some people have been speaking of the end of Capitalism, as though what we have now is Capitalism.

(Like HERE in the UK Guardian)

https://www.theguardian.com/books/2015/jul/17/postcapitalism-end-of-capitalism-begun.

But, I just think many people don’t really understand what Capitalism is…

The word, “Capitalism”,  derives from the word “Capital”.  This word is just a posher, more accountant friendly version of the word for “savings”.  And to have savings, you have to have a monetary system, that means that the money in everyday use (currency) retains its value over very long periods of time, and is garnered from the excess production by workers, or businesses who save that money.

This money can then be pooled, typically by Banks in individual savings accounts, to allow larger projects to be funded, and corporations to borrow this, to grow their business, or to finance those larger projects.

Of course, there can be savings made by corporations too, who produce in excess of current demand, and this “Retained Earnings” to use accountant speak, is then available for investment in new products or services, which adds value to the business, and enriches the lives of the many.

But, going back over 45 years to the 1970s, when I was a teenager, and just starting out in life, there were two forms of accounts. The type of account where money was deposited for immediate use (a current account) and money that was “saved for a rainy day” and was typically deposited into a “Savings Account”.  In some instances, these were 90 day accounts.  These accounts paid a higher rate of interest, than normal savings accounts, which were called “time deposits”, because these funds were deposited for a period of time – in this case 90 days.

That meant that the depositor, had to give 90 days’ notice, to get access to their savings, or forfeit interest earned.

However, back on 15th August, 1971, the last link between real money (Gold and Silver) was severed, when Richard Milhous Nixon, President of the U.S., closed the “Gold Window” temporarily, which meant that foreign nations could no longer demand Gold in exchange for dollars at the Bretton Woods rate of $35.00 for 1 oz of Gold.

That day ushered in Corporataucracy, though we didn’t realise it at the time.  In a world where a Bank can just press a few keys on a computer, or have its Central Bank (owned by these ultra-large corporate banks) create funds out of thin air by “Computer Keystrokes”, or the “Printing Press”, the large corporations and governments, can borrow increasingly larger sums of currency, without others having to make those savings out of current production or consumption.   This disconnect, means that current consumption, does not have to be forgone to pay for some new project, which reduces the need for savings – but also reduces interest rates, as capital is no longer needed, but it also tends over time to lead to increasing concentration of the means of production, into the hands of those with access to this line of credit, and the desire for huge capital sums.

The rise of these mega-corporations like Apple, Google, Facebook, Uber, Walmart, and here in the UK, BAe, TESCO, Sainsbury’s, Asda, and Morrisons, have all risen, by building large concentrated infrastructure, which is capital intensive.  Most of these corporations can borrow large sums cheaply, because their revenue streams, are constant, and thus they quickly create surpluses in their respective bank accounts.

For these large corporations, that money going into their current accounts, which is vulnerable to loss – IF – their Bank has financial difficulties so needs to be used or given back to shareholders, but is vulnerable, until such time..  So for many companies, this almost forces them to invest in newer premises, and growth in newer overseas markets, to use that currency, or risk financial loss as it sits there earning next to zero interest.

The alternative would be to return that surplus to the investors, which would raise share-prices, and distribute income, but in a world where money is too cheap because it is limited only by the bank’s willingness to hit the right keys on their computers, corporations who have large and dominant shareholdings by the families that created them, have little need for raising risk capital from shareholders, and thus the risk is transferred from the company, (and its shareholders) to the lending institution, while the share price rises, increase the power and wealth of these family shareholders. VW/Audi, Porsche, TESCO, Morrisons, and Sainsbury, are all businesses, where the original family owners are still large shareholders of the business. This is particularly true where the huge sums borrowed jeopardize the stability of the Bank doing the lending and a Black Swan event places a strain on the Banking system.

This risk, is later transferred to the State as Banks use their own freely created Capital, to acquire other smaller banks, consolidating markets, and then when they become systemic, they transfer that risk to the tax-payers as they become “Too Big to Fail”, “Too Big to Jail”.

I believe, that a number of events in the economic, political and financial spheres, may be about to undermine this.

Banking – Politics – Economics –  Changes Making the World a Different Place…

The rise of Islam, as I mentioned HERE: , threatens the wider economy, as religious doctrines amongst its followers, limit the number and range of economic activities which in themselves, could destabilise the western world’s economies to the point of failure.

However, this post is about the other events.

Bullion and Bitcoin.

The last eight years, has seen the rise of Crypto-currencies, like Bitcoin, and a concern among many about the extra $3.5Trillion, put into the monetary system, by the Federal Reserve, driving the rise in demand for precious metals Gold and Silver.

Bitcoin, and other crypto-currencies, could be about to usurp the power of the Bankers (See: My Post on this topic HERE , which if it occurs, means that because the Banks can’t just lend more and more money (currency) into existence, they have to earn the trust of depositors, and use their limited funds wisely. But inevitably, these inventive Bankers will use their political influence to ensure that they get the outcome they need. Probably outlawing crypto-currency trading, and using it for certain purposes.

The East, has for the last one and a half decades, been accumulating Gold in Central Bank Vaults, while the West, has been ridding itself of this substance, that Keynes according to legend discussed as a “barbarous relic”.

However, Gold as the final arbiter of the value of money (See This:  or This – ) can stem the flow of funds to large corporations, who would have to rely on available funds from savers, and increased economic activity, would have to produce those surpluses, which means the increasingly automated world, will need more savers, driving up real wages, to buy the products and services of automation, their prices would need to be more competitive too growing sales, and as Henry Ford recognised, salaries would need to rise encouraging savings to accrue.

And for those past the first flush of youth, or perhaps in retirement, the savings rates paid would go up, and that would help those having to live on retirement incomes.

But, it might also mean,  that for the first time in a long time, America, would not be able to rampage around the world, laying down the law, and interfering in all those countries, that require expensive military hardware, that the U.S.  can just buy with the funny money, that is hot off the computer or printing presses.

Mike Maloney’s take on things is that the printing presses will drive the world to take up the SDR sooner rather than later. The SDR, for those who don’t know it, is the “Special Drawing Right”. It was first created by the IMF during the 1970s, as a certificate for a basket of the major currencies. And the Yuan, has just been added to that basket, but the Chinese are pushing to add Gold to it too, and that will drive demand for Gold.

You can see Mike Maloney with David Morgan, precious metals dealer, and financial guru, discussing matters here:

And for when this happens, Silver will ride on Gold’s coat-tails, But the rush for silver will probably overtake the price rise in gold, by a factor of 5 to 1… And this explains WHY…

Beware The Ides of March…

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Can You Trust Your Bank

Students of Literature, will recognise the title from the warning given to Julius Ceasar, as epitomised in the Shakespearean play of that name.

It was a warning to the general, to beware, by a soothsayer (who remains nameless). A warning that apparently he ignored. Of course, as the conspirators – the Senators, stabbed at Ceasar, and Marcus Brutus a former long-time friend plunged his knife into the man, Shakespeare’s Ceasar uttered those now immortal words – “Et tu Bruté” (And you Brutus?)

Of course, in the modern era, the last major play, that resembles this drama, is the death of John Fitzgerald Kennedy on November 22nd 1963, as he was brutally slaughtered by a conspiratorial cabal operating in the upper echelons of the power political scene in America.

Who all these conspirators are, has remained largely unspoken… But some people, are doing what should have been done 50+ years ago, by the Dallas Police, before the CIA and the FBI took over the post assassination conspiratorial machinations, to cover up their involvement, and to plant the idea in the public’s mind, that “it was a lone gunman” a Russian Sympathiser, who spent three years in Russia, but who was in receipt of $200 per month from the FBI as an informer, and who received special training by the CIA to learn Russian, before he allegedly dropped out by going to Russia and staying there for three years…

Those invoved in the Conspiracy carefully massaged the images and the Warren Commission headed up by the very man, that Kennedy had fired just a few months earlier as Head of the CIA to ensure the story remained “on message”.

Of course George Herbert Walker Bush, when asked where he was at the time of the shooting, had vague recollections of where he was, despite someone of that name making a call to J. Edgar Hoover’s office – Head of the FBI just hours after the shooting proving he was in a hotel in Dallas. And his recollections apparently varied on subsequent questioning of the same incident, The same George H. W. Bush who went on to be Carter’s head of CIA, and then Vice President, during the 8 years that Ronald Reagan was President, and almost made it to the presidency when President Reagan was shot, by a lone nutter… But the President in true Cowboy hero fashion, survived.

JFK’s brother Robert Kennedy who also later ran for political office also met a sudden death when yet another lone nutter (CIA – MK-Ultra participant?) allegedly shot him at close quarters as he emerged from the hotel kitchen into the glare of waiting reporters, TV cameras and waiting dignatories – and CIA operatives?

Here is the best documentary I’ve seen on this and other subjects…

JFK Jr., had his 3rd birthday just three days after his father’s death, and after growing up and becoming by, all accounts, an honourable man, handsome, suave, considerate and latterly a pilot and publisher of a magazine called “George” – Was this a clue to the mystery surrounding his father’s demise?Why George?

And of course, John F Kennedy Junior ALSO met an untimely demise, when his plane came down late in the evening, as his plane disappeared off his flight path and plunged into the Atlantic, just 1 minute after he called in to the Martha’s Vineyard Airport, to say he was at 2,500 feet and ready to descend to the airport… But he never made it, falling out of the sky almost vertically just 60 seconds later… Meanwhile, George Bush Junior, for the three days, was nowhere to be found… Hmmmm… “Curiouser, and Curiouser”…cried Alice…

You can get a better description of events here…

So what does this have to do with the Ides of March?

Well, as President Trump has already made known to the world, some of the things he wants to do is to “Drain the swamp”, and began the process, though CIA leaks have been made to discredit him, but even the MSM have had to eat some of their words. However, many things seem to be happening that suggests he won’t see out his full-term – one way or another…

Already people are setting Trump up for a fall… Here’s how Zero-Hedge put it


Roberto Gualtieri, chairman of the European Parliament’s economic and monetary affairs committee, also criticized Trump. “Some first concrete confirmations of a new more unilateral policy stance by the new U.S. administration, including on sensitive financial markets regulatory issues, raise concerns and require both thorough reflection and action from the EU side,” he told the committee.

Meanwhile, Draghi deflected accusations lobbed at him over the weekend by German finmin Schauble, who said not Germany, but the ECB and Mario Draghi, are responsible for the undervaluation of the euro:

And SGTReport who holds views similar to my own, regarding the economy,  believes  much the same with regard to Trump’s likely outcome, as those behind the scenes are attempting to undermine, discredit, or if they can’t impeach him, probably develop a plan to slay him, when they produced this video…

 

And of course #Pizzagate is just another FAKE News story…

Err.. Maybe.


And of course, it was Trump and those Russian hackers who stole the election… Except it wasn’t…

 

BUT, at least Trump is fighting back, and so are the Americans…

Those evil Bankers, Oil-men, Military Corporate CEOs and multi-million share-holders, and those working for them in the secretive security organisations – all 16 of them, are now going to have their teeth pulled as the fight-back begins…As Ron Paul, that arch-enemy of the Federal Reserve has already had his £0.02 worth..

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-03-08/arizona-senate-committee-passes-bill-treat-gold-money-remove-capital-gains-tax

So, if you’re in the markets, now might be prudent to lower your risk somewhat… Events have a habit of coming out of the blue, and given recent rises to bubble territory… and Cliff High’s, Jim Rickards’ and Bill Bonner’s and JIm Willie’s and Peter Schiff’s, David Morgan’s and Dr. Paul Craig Robert’s warnings a pull-back is long overdue.

UPDATE

This is an important adjunct to the above piece, as events come into focus:

The 15th March (Ides) is the day that Netherlands goes to the polls to elect a new leader. One in which the populist Geert Wilders is steadily making progress in the polls and is looking increasingly likely to win. BUT as Turkey and the Dutch go head to head over the latest political intrigue, will this mean Wilders gets more of the sympathetic vote, against the population concerned about the (as they see it) invasion of Islamists guaranteeing him the  vote?

The second concerning thing is the reaching of the $20 Trillion debt ceiling in the U.S. on that date, while also the Federal Reserve on that day too will decide whether to raise interest rates for just the 3rd time in 10 years.

And, in the UK, after the House of Commons rejected the amendment voted for by the House of Lords, this frees the PM’s hands to announce the formal Brexit process.

And finally, Clif High – researcher, has been announcing over the last two months that March onwards is likely to be tumultuous, and after all that, I found this…(below)

Anyone who has been reading this blog for any length of time, will know my feelings on Precious metals, and this just threw petrol on the bonfire.

 

 

 

 

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Just Another Fake News Story?

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Whilst browsing the internet, I come across many things, that deserve a wider audience, but am unable to offer any further evidence of these sometimes outlandish claims. Not so today.

This piece linked to below, really revolves around a much talked about subject, and one I have myself been involved in writing about, so this piece would appear to add further credence to the mystery.

http://themillenniumreport.com/2016/10/treason-who-did-911-and-why-did-they-do-it/

Who was responsible for 9/11?  WHY did they carry out the attacks of the World Trade Center (WTC)?  And if two planes brought down buildings one and two, how did building 7, a block or two away, across a wide expanse, collapse vertically, and yet was still upright when a BBC news anchor with a live link behind her, showing the building – that could be seen by all those sufficiently awake to notice, – was still visible, while we were being told that the building had already gone down?

The piece linked to above reads like an episode of: “The Bourne Trilogy” with a cast of characters taken from: Politics, Corporate Energy, Mafia and Banking Interests across the western world. I wrote too in the book  “The Coming Battle – 2013”  that events were spiralling out of control.

General Wesley Clark in a video interview explained that he was told in advance of plans to intervene in seven middle-eastern countries, all based on the lie of 9/11… The latest in a long line of black-ops “False-Flag” events, that were used to sway American -and in this case – worldwide opinion to permit those with their own agenda to influence events. And he also discussed what happened next and he recalled how the decision was taken back in 1991 –

It used to be that the propagandists with people inside the military and secret service industries, could modify the News agenda to get the outcomes that they wanted, and due to secrecy laws, their misdeeds would go unpunished for thirty years or more until after the secret documents could be widely accessed. BUT, the Internet has changed all that. The Mainstream News Organisations (MSM) exist to make money for their shareholders and senior management teams – and the corporations that advertise and market their wares on them, are generally large multi-nationals – the very corporations that the MSM is supposed to be keeping a beady eye on, in its role as defender of the public and the customer,  are the very same ones using politics to pursue their own agenda.

As ever, “He who pays the piper, calls the tune.”

So, as corruption apparently swirls around the world, I hear of imminent plans to rid the world of physical coins and notes – particularly in America, where many of the U.S.’s states, and institutions are seemingly hell-bent on destroying the last vestige of freedom – the freedom to spend as you like – by outlawing payment in anything other than digital means.

So will Gold and Silver be once more used to “Barter” with?

Will the closure of your bank, be the event that makes you take action?

Will the ATM closing, or your Bank closing one weekend and not re-opening again on Monday make you take action?

Will the disappearance of your pension fund make you take action?

The time has come.

 

 

 

Money, Politics and Media

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This piece will be short and to the point, and full of visual elements, in keeping with modern trends.

Our monetary system has by many independent commentators become corrupted, and this has been allowed because of the benefits to the few. It begins with a discussion of Fiat versus, “Real” money. Continues with discussion on the future, and then finally discusses why we got what we got.

Egon von Greyerz, talks about the currency devaluation over the last 100 years versus Gold, and how with charts he suggests that the U.S. is technically bankrupt.

The end result of which will be a collapse of the currency and with it much of Western Banking and finance.

In the second half of this next video, Max Keiser talks to Bitcoin entrepreneur – José Rodriguez, about crypto-currencies, and how both Mexico, and Argentina, have taken to them, to help solve their financial problems, which have beset the two countries, because of corruption, and the dominance of the American Banking System, which has had a detrimental affect on their nation’s finances.

And the British political scene seems to have opened up in this last election pre-season friendly, as some of the political commentators, seem to have tripped up, and lost some of their moral high ground.

Maybe some good will come of all this.

A corrupt Media system, policing a corrupt political process, presiding over a corrupt monetary system, for its own mutual survival.

Who’d have thought it?

W.

Money for nothing, and their clicks for FREE.

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Stagnation, Inflation, Deflation, Dis-Inflation – and more – Hyper-inflation?

Back in 2010, in October, William H. Bonner of Agora Financial, a Baltimore based Financial Publishing house and regular commentator on the Financial Markets, released the following piece. Since then, the markets have boomed in some areas, and bust in others. But the real value of many of life’s essentials: Food, Clothing, Shelter and the basic necessities of life, and many of life’s “nice to haves” – Copper, Tin, Zinc, Nickel, Iron, Gold, Silver and of course Oil and Gas, have all experienced significant price changes. But are the prices accurate? Do they reflect the effort and cost of capital needed to extract them, or of their true value, if we run out of them? We may live to find out…

That’s the trouble when you start printing money for nothing, the people who get it first make the most profit, and the further it spreads out from the central bank, the less profit it appears to make. But the good Central Bankers, will do everything they think they can to make things better. The only question is: “For whom?”
Read on to find out.

===========================
Plaza II Accord

Bill Bonner – Friday, October 15, 2010

Keynes was right about one thing…

Peace talks broke down last weekend. Observers had expected the IMF meeting on the weekend to result in the equivalent of the Peace of Amiens or the Surrender at Appomattox. But Treasury secretaries and central bankers went home, unpacked their bags, and resumed their premeditated mischief.

The dollar went down. Why would anyone pay 100 cents for an old, worn out greenback when the Fed promises to create trillions more of them, brand spanking new? Europe and Japan resumed firing with their new QE guns. Asian nations sent out snipers to intervene in the currency markets directly. And China and the US resorted to “trench warfare,” reported The Financial Times, neither apparently ready to give up an inch; that is, neither was prepared to allow its currency to buy more today than it did yesterday. In America, China has become an election-year bogeyman. The electorate seems convinced that any nation that stockpiles $2 trillion worth of America’s I.O.U. greenbacks must be up to no good.

So, the war goes on. But it is an ersatz war. All the combatants really want the same thing – to debauch their currencies at the expense of savers and creditors. Sooner or later, they’ll conspire to get the job done. A full 93% of US financial professionals believe the Federal Reserve Bank is on the case. It is expected to launch major debauch in November. Investors have run up almost all asset classes in anticipation. The Dow passed 11,000 on Friday. Soft and hard commodities hit new highs. And if, on a given day, gold does not set a new record, it is probably because the markets are closed.

What a remarkable period in financial history! We can hardly believe our luck. Absurd things are happening. John Maynard Keynes was wrong about practically everything. But he was right about this:

There is no subtler, surer means of overturning society than to debauch the currency. The process engages all the hidden forces of economic law on the side of destruction and does it in a way that not one man in a million is able to diagnose.

And we get to see it live. And probably dead. The US dollar fell under the control of the debauchers, partially, in 1913…when America’s central bank was formed…then fully, in 1971, when gold backing for the dollar was completely eliminated. In the 100 years before the Fed was formed, the dollar lost not a penny of its value. In the almost 100 years since, it has lost almost all of them. If the greenback were to lose another 5% of its 1914 value, there would be nothing left at all.

Such slow larceny bothered no one. As long as the dollar slid gradually, and peacefully towards worthlessness it seemed almost natural, even healthy. Central bankers could mix with polite company and hold their heads up. None was arrested, as far as we know. None was so tormented by his crime that he had to be restrained or sedated. But now central banks are committing their felonies in broad daylight. Economists argue for more. But investors are confused and worried. Today, they buy gold. Tomorrow they may buy shotguns.

But what else can the managers do? After increasing for 61 years, the volume of credit in the US – and hence, the volume of sales – is no longer expanding. This leaves householders with debt to pay down and exporters with no alternative but to fight for market share. What to do about it? Lower the value of the currency! But in a correction, the natural thing is for prices to go down with a decline in demand. So, money tends to become more upright just when the managers would most like to see it slouch.

The poor central bankers. They are victims of their own delusions of competence. They have never actually managed anything successfully. When the economy is expanding, they exacerbate the boom. When it is contracting, they slow down the correction. And now, they fight a currency war not of their own choosing, but of their own making. The war is their response to the correction, which results from the bubble, which was caused largely by the managers themselves.

And now they’re looking for a hotel where they can do it again. It was at the Plaza Hotel in New York in 1985 that they managed their Treaty of Versailles. It ended the currency war of the early ’80s…and prepared the way for an even bigger war later on. Back then, Japan was the go-go economy. Like China today, Japan was the world’s leading exporter. It wanted to keep the yen low. The US meanwhile, was losing market share. James Baker and the other US managers threatened sanctions. Japan gave in. By early the following year, the yen was 40% higher against the dollar and Japan’s GDP growth rate had been cut in half. But the managers fixed that problem as they fix them all. In Japan, they cut rates 4 times in 1986, creating a flood of hot money. Four years later, Japan was the envy of the entire world. In January of 1990, the Nikkei Dow hit a new record – 4 times higher than it was when the Plaza Accords were signed. Then, the bubble popped. You don’t need to be reminded of what happened next. The Nikkei crashed. Real estate crashed. Everything crashed. The economy went into a 20-year tailspin, failing to create a single new job in two decades. Neither stocks, nor real estate, nor the economy ever recovered.

No one wants to follow the Japanese down that road. Ben Bernanke manages the dollar, desperately trying to avoid it. And Premier Wen of China said it would be “a disaster for the world” if Western nations tried to force China in that direction. He’s right. But he needn’t worry about it. Disaster is coming anyway. The managers will make sure of it.

Regards,

Bill Bonner,
for The Daily Reckoning
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And once more, the Banks are mired in controversy. Late on 12th June 2014, we heard that the UK., Chancellor of the Exchequer, will outline new laws to regulate the largely unregulated Foreign Exchange markets (For-Ex).
Every day, over $4 TRILLION changes hands globally in these markets, but several Big Banks – those closest to the Central Bankers, have been allegedly manipulating these markets for their own ends.
The Chancellor will make manipulating these markets a criminal offence.

I welcome the attempt to rein in the worst effects of the bankers actions, but it is a brave policeman, or Financial Conduct Authority, who will apply the new legislation, as Bankers have historically threatened governments of all political persuasions with dire effects if they apply regulations too rigidly.

If you don’t believe me, after the scandals that have come to light in the last five years, including LIBOR, Silver, Gold and other events such as the London Whale, then perhaps you need to read my free E-book, all 633 pages of it – “The Coming Battle”, which documents the worst excesses of these “Wizards of Oz” who pull the political strings from behind the curtain. These bankers who threaten governments, who manipulate stock-markets, Foreign exchange markets, Precious metals markets, and use their financial muscle, to wreak havoc when they fail to get the outcomes they feel they deserve.

But who can take them on?

The latest news from Iraq is ISIS appears to have taken control of parts of Western and Northern Iraq, and Eastern Syria.

Their goal it appears, is to create an Islamic Fundamentalist State. Part of me feels they deserve everything they get. BUT I should point out to all, and any who think that we ought to intervene again in the Middle-East, that our last attempts probably created this hotch-potch of anti-western sentiment – rapidly becoming a “Holy War”.

Besides just by ignoring the problem, these radicals will burn themselves out. Apart from the oil-fields in Northern Iraq, what do they have to sell? Oranges? Lemons? Mangoes? I am at a loss to call to memory anything that is exported from the middle-east apart from oil and/or gas. And therein lies the crux of their problem.

A modern economy has to pay for things that others have to sweat to build. German Engineering comes at great expense, and organisational and engineering expertise. British know-how in Financial Markets comes from a few centuries of having travelled the globe, and of having access to a large capital base, and expertise in how to make use of that. (And maybe that’s another topic of discussion for the future). Jamaica has the right climate for sugar cane, and so uses it to make Jamaican Rum. Mexico, has Silver mines, America has its software and computer hardware. Kenya has its tea and coffee plantations, and Japan, its electronics businesses. Each taking advantage of that country’s strengths.

Adam Smith the father of all economists, called it “comparative advantage”. What he meant was that each country should learn to make the best of its natural resources, and use its natural advantages to their fullest.

But as the world becomes more intertwined, the fruits and bounty of this planet will have to be paid for with real money, not money you can just print up at will. Money (Gold and Silver) has to be dug from the earth, smelted, refined into bars and coins, and thus the labour stored up in them – the knowledge, skills, ore, blood, sweat and tears, becomes a tradeable and valuable commodity. Pieces of paper with pretty pictures on, printed in their billions will not.

Education, research, and expertise gained over long periods gives countries an advantage in particular spheres. And asking the Lord Almighty, in whatever guise you see him, will not cut it anymore.

The Lord helps those who help themselves is a phrase I was brought up on. It is time for the middle-east to wake from its 1500 year slumber, and broaden its economic base through acceptance of certain verifiable truths.

Men are the captains of their own destiny not an all seeing prophet, or god from on-high. Such thinking should be reserved for the home and hearth.

Science, and the application of science – truths in physics, if you will, will improve the lot of the many. A country of fundamentalists, however ruled, who do not realise that they can only pay their way in the world by exchanging things of value, will, if ignored, like grapes of wrath, wither on the vine.

Forcing people to live a particular theocratic life in poverty, will mean they will take the first opportunity to leave. And the oil and gas will stay in the ground if others refuse to buy from these tyrants.

In the meantime, those oil and gas producers outside the middle-east, will be reaping the rewards as the oil price rises once more. Two small producers, I have had a smallholding with for over a year, for just such reasons are: Lenigas and Oil (AIM:LGO) and Sound Oil (AIM:SOU). Both have had good news of late and I believe are multi-baggers from here.

LGO operates in Spain and Trinidad and Tobago, and SOU operates in Italy.
As the world price of oil and gas rises due to the increasing political risks, these small businesses will find their product adds increasing amounts to the bottom line, and thus their prospects will rise alongside it.

Eventually, the public will wake up to the fact that the notes and coins in their wallets, and their bank accounts don’t represent real wealth, and demand alternatives to the currency dictated by governments. Alternatives that have stood the test of time, such as Gold and Silver, and newer alternatives such as the crypto-currencies, I’ve mentioned many times will stand out as value and wealth preservers – Bitcoin et-al, and Gold and Silver, will achieve their true place in the realm of matters economic just as they have always done when governments do stupid things like debauch the currency.

If you liked this post, please like it or even just copy and paste saying where from.

W.

Are you part of the 1%?

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I was reading my usual News sites, and some blogs, trying to keep up to date with the goings on in the money markets, and the world of finance, economics, politics and the precious metals markets, and someone mentioned something that made me stop and think…

The Occupy Wall Street movement, frequently talk about the 1%. That narrow class of Bankers and others of the financial elite who seem to control the planet through their manipulation of the money markets, and who use their financial and economic power to control governments and get the people to bail them out when they make a bad bet, and who threaten governments with economic and political mayhem, if they don’t get what they want.

Close Guantanamo? No problem… Well maybe next year…We need this war on terrorism, it’s good for jobs – in government.
Allow Saddam Hussein to sell oil in Euros? – Sure…(Er No. that would crash the dollar.)
Allow Iran’s Ahmedinajad to buy oil with Gold? No problem… Actually that would hurt the dollar too.
Allow Libya’s Ghadaffi to form a Gold Arabian Dinar currency union to sell oil? – Yeah Why not? Are you kiddin’?
Allow Syria’s Bashar Assad to build a pipeline from Iran through Shi-ite controlled Southern Iraq, and Syria, to the Mediterranean Coast, to allow Iranian gas to world markets and especially Europe? – Hey wouldn’t that be great! Not if you’re a western oil-major.

However, I digress.

In an article they quoted, that a web-site – “Zero-Hedge.com” regularly had 100,000 readers, but one article in particular had had 300,000 views.

Given that the population of the U.S. is a little over 300 million, and that the web-site is visited by overseas viewers – myself included, that means that less than 0.01% of the U.S. population have even a mild interest in precious metals – in particular Gold and Silver, or the state of the dollar.

That means that if you are one of the few… That VERY few, who hold even just a little Gold and/or Silver, you are part of that rare breed of humans – that 0.01%, who will benefit when the currency that now dominates world affairs, that has been the reason for much of the unrest we see around the world – in the middle east, in South American countries, with questionable political systems, with rulers who were supported merely because they satisfied the economic success of their currency Lords back home in the U.S.

When the world currency system that we currently have, implodes, as it inevitably must, then you will be glad you had the foresight to buy even a little insurance in the form of Gold and/or Silver or even Platinum or Palladium.

According to Agora Finance’s Editor in Chief, and co-author of several books on the subject of money and finance  – every un-backed currency that has ever existed has gone to zero.

You can count them throughout history – The U.S. Continental, the European currencies of yesteryear – the German Mark, the Austrian Schilling, the Yugoslavian Dinar and the Zimbabwean Dollar.

On average the lifespan of an un-backed currency is 30 years, and given that the dollar became un-backed by Gold, on August 15th 1971, when President Nixon closed the gold window, as a result of France and Britain asking for several billion dollars worth of Gold for its dollar reserves, as the Vietnam war saw the explosion of U.S. currency leaking out around the world, the dollar has had more than its fair share.

The rise of dictators in the middle-east happened largely because of rising populations in those countries, with political systems, that were and are still trapped in the hereditary system of government. Kings, and Royal families make those countries what they are.

Colonel Muammar Ghadaffi, Hafez Al-Assad and Saddam Hussein all seized power because their rulers looked to the West, and were corrupted with huge payments by western oil majors and their sponsors – the Fed – who ensured that gas prices in the U.S. didn’t cause economic misery and dislocation in the economy. Especially given that the war in Vietnam was costing the U.S. so much in Agent Orange, and bombs as their hundreds of B52s were carpet bombing Laos, Cambodia, and of course North-Vietnam, ushering in Pol Pot.

These last 40years have seen one Royal or dictatorial household after another supported, so that cheap oil can be had back home in the good ol’ U.S. of A.

And now that the instability in the middle-east has driven oil prices up to such a level that recovering the shale oil and gas, is cost effective, and that it is likely to last more than 100 years, and make the U.S., energy independent by 2017 or even sooner, has prompted a fall-out between the Royal Saudi-kingdom and the American political class, as Saudi oil, once so necessary is not needed nearly so much cutting the income of the Saudis. And of course the Saudi’s whose mortal enemies are the Shi-ite Iranians, are now selling oil in dollars once again, as they negotiate over Nuclear reactors, and the fuel that they need.

But that’s just detail, right?

Those who heeded the portents of what was to come, in the early 1970s, bought Gold at just $35.00 per ounce. In the run up to the oil crisis of 1973, the price of Gold would rise to $200, giving those early adopters a substantial profit. BUt then as now, the price halved over the next two years falling to $100.

Those who bought at the top and sold on the way down must have smarted, but the wise ones, know that Gold is not a metal to be traded, but an insurance policy you take out when Governments do stupid things like debauch the currency.

The wise ones, the clever ones (or just the stubborn ones) held onto their Gold and collected on their insurance, and sold out 5years later.

By then the price of oil had risen four-fold, Ayatollah Rouhollah Mousav Khomeini had become the religious and political leader in Iran, and Gold had risen to over $800 per ounce, even spiking to $850 per ounce, as all the above ground Gold (as it always does) rose to the price to absorb all the Dollars in the world.

When the next J curve in the price of gold and silver comes, those who are smarting now, and those who take advantage of the current low price of Gold at circa $1200/oz for Gold and $20/oz for silver, will be the ones with smiles from ear to ear.

Will you be one of the 0.01% or even the 1% who makes their purchases and sales with knowledge and wisdom, or the 99% who watches this from the sidelines.

There’s an old saying…

There are three kinds of people.

Those who make things happen,
those who watch things happen, and
those who say – “What happened?”

Which one are you?

Until next time.

W.