Disasters Financial

Chinese Torture?

Posted on Updated on

Anyone over 50 (at least in the UK.) will no doubt have learned of so-called Chinese Water Torture, which was discussed in the playgrounds of schools the length and breadth of the country during the 50s, and 60s – perhaps this misplaced discussion was just childish minds being over imaginative, or the result of the war films that were the standard fare of the era, or perhaps just the result of propaganda by a biased media, or just by ill-educated professionals, who had been mis-informed and we juniors picked up on it – we can but speculate.

According to the stuff of legend, this involves suspending a bucket or other recepticle full of water in which a small hole has been punctured, such that water will drip out at a fairly consistent rate over a fairly lengthy period of time.

The torture victim, is placed under this recepticle, and strapped in a fixed position. The slow but monotonous dripping, at first appears to offer no threat to the intended victim, but over time, first becomes an inconvenience, then a minor irritation, then an annoyance, then a major irritation, then downright torturous.

The slow drip, drip, drip, ratchets up the pressure on the intended victim…

Applying the Torture?



So, this analogy brings me to the reason for this tortuous piece.

As I wrote some weeks ago, China informed the world, back in May, that they had improved their Gold holdings over the previous six years from April 2009 at 1,065 tonnes to 1,658 tonnes (allegedly – since many commentators think this was significantly under-reported)

According to reports, China announced it had purchased an additional 19 tonnes in July, but news released a few days ago, says they have also now added an additional 16 tonnes in August. This now brings their total to 1,693 tonnes, and according to silverdoctors.com, they’ve imported “a whopping 112 tonnes” so far in the first half of this year from the LBMA, up from the 110tonnes in the whole of 2014.

So is this “Drip, Drip” of additional purchases the equivalent of the torture method mentioned earlier for the FEDs?

China sold some $94 Billion in Treasury Bills, which might also be sending a signal to those in the non-BRICS Banking world.

And according to Alisdair Macleod, who referenced a Zero Hedge article, he said that if nothing else, it confirms the gold market is plagued by disinformation, not limited to Comex. Besides the conflict between the bears in the futures market and the physical bulls, on one day we are told of record Indian gold and silver imports at 126 and 1,400 tonnes respectively for the month of August (Koos Jansen), and of Indian gold demand “remaining weak” (HSBC). The former is a hard number, the latter an opinion, but it is opinions that are quoted most in the mainstream market commentaries.

Also in August, Chinese public demand reported on the Shanghai Gold Exchange totalled 265 tonnes, so between India and China identified demand exceeded the world’s monthly mine output by about 56% – Over half. Given anecdotal evidence of increasing physical demand from elsewhere in Asia and also in western markets by the general public, the drainage of physical gold previously available to cover futures and forward contracts, as well as unallocated bullion bank accounts is at very high levels. No wonder there is so little registered gold in the Comex vaults.

Alisdair Macleod September 3rd 2015, interview…

Now we hear via Jim Willie interviews, that the Tianjin explosion, may MAY, have been a Langley (i.e. CIA) inspired or managed incident. Remember, this was in an industrial park, port, and the home of a chinese super-computer, which according to JW, managed not only financial transactions of the emerging Chinese Banking and Financial Services Industries, but Chinese Military, and with a footprint of 1,000 square feet is HUGE. Within days of the explosion, the whole of the North-East of the U.S. Airline databases went down. Was this a revenge attack by Chinese hackers? We shall never really know, but we can speculate.

As things stand, the British, German and American Financiers, who essentially rule western industry and politics, will have control wrested from them, when the Chinese wrest control of the Gold market, and Precious Metals are priced in Yuan/Renminbi (RMB) and Chinese currency will be required in most trade deals, and many east-asian nations may, MAY only accept Renminbi for their products, and that will help seal the fate of the dollar.

As things stand now, 32 nations have currency swap facilities with China in Chinese currency, as I suggested some months ago, when Saudi-Arabia began discussing oil deals with China, as a way of balancing the emergence of the changes in the oil markets which have driven down oil prices largely because of fracking, and deep water production made possible by cheap money loaned out in the form of Corporate Bonds, we may see oil wars, but therein lies the problem.

As oil prices have collapsed from their 2007 high of $147/barrel, those corporate bonds, and finance raised to drill for shale oil, will come due, and many of those companies, are now struggling to make money. According to Jim Willie, the oil bond market collapse could be greater than the sub-prime crisis, that exploded onto our screens in 2008.

And at this particular point in time, the world credit markets stand on $700 TRILLION worth of derivatives. When the derivatives market collapses, perhaps as a result of those oil bonds, we could be seeing the end of the dollar empire, and thus the end of Western hegemony.

But this is of course all speculation…

However, when this collapse happens those who have savings in Banks, Savings in Stocks, Savings in Pension Funds, IRAs, SIPPs and bonds, will all suffer. When all those savings – excess savings as “Conant” once in the late 1890s called them, sought out productive assets overseas, in the round advocating a dollar Empire in the process, rush for the exits, from assets with counter-party risk, to assets with none, then the long awaited price reset in Precious Metals will begin.

And this price reset, will cause a spike in metals prices as many of those manipulators, who are currently shorting the price using leveraged shorts in such products as ETFs, ETPs, Options, Covered Warrants, CFDs, Spread-Betting accounts, and Binary options accounts, will all be rushing for the exits at the same time.

And where will the carnage lead them? To the one asset class with no counter-party risk.

Have you got yours yet? The sand in the hour-glass may be fast running out, as reports emerge of severe shortages in small denomination coins and bars. 100 Kilo bars are still plentiful in Silver, and larger bars. This may be a fabrication issue – i.e. refineries struggling to keep up with coin and small bar demand, or it may be that there is an emerging shortage of silver in the supply chain. If you were a miner, would you sell your ore into a falling market?

Remember, no-one will sound the bell identifying that now is the time to act. If you haven’t already begun to prepare, time may be fast running out.

It will be prudent too if Jim Rickards and Bill Bonner are correct, who have been following this inevitable crisis from its inception in the 1970s to its current conclusion, advise us to take currency from our bank account, and keep it outside the banking system, while we still can. About a month’s currency should suffice.

The banking crisis in Cyprus, in 2013, and Greece in 2014/15 were just stepping stones on the way to this one. Legislative changes forcing European Banks to seize their depositors’ currency rather than hit tax-payers for another bailout have been put in place. The digits on the banks ledgers are now theirs, not yours. You have been warned.

Advertisements

The End of Capitalism? – Fascism 2.0?

Posted on Updated on

To many, Capitalism, is what makes the world go round. But many others don’t really know what that is.

Population growth - From Jesus Christ until 2050. Where will all the food come from to feed these extra mouths?

So what is Capitalism?

Capitalism the word, derives from the word Capital – and Capital is…. “Savings”.

Of course savings, are generally stored in Banks, and that “capital” should generate interest. Of course interest is what the Banks give to the owners of Capital, and traditionally, the Bankers loaned out that capital to business people who would use that injected capital to increase profits, and those increased profits, would pay back the loan, and add value so that the expenditure of the capital is justified.

If we have a population explosion, such as happened after the second world war – the baby-boomers – we have a situation where fast approaching retirement the ‘boomers’ are now saving like crazy in their pension accounts, insurance or assurance policies, bank accounts and stock market brokerage accounts. Of course those who retire inevitably need income from their savings (some of which went into buy-to-let property which led to the boom, between 2002-2007) And yet interest rates have been lowered to zero per-cent or close to it, in Europe, the UK. and the U.S.

So as these savers are looking for yield from their savings, this has driven down Bond yields (A bond is a loan, to a country – such as aTreasury Bill, or Gilt – or a corporation, which generates interest to the holder.).And we know that to produce that interest, we need to generate growth – in the economy, and in the corporation.

BUT, all that growth relies on energy, and despite recent price falls in oil and gas, longer term, much of what happens in the sphere of energy is reliant on oil and gas production, which because of something economists are famiIiar with – EROI – Energy Return, On Energy Invested – we know that we are close to or past the Peak, and the energy cost of producing more energy, will lead ultimately to a collapse in the economy.

But few in the mainstream media, or among our politicians are willing to discuss this or how we might resolve this issue. Fracking is the U.S’s attempts, but as energy prices have fallen, the financial cost of Fracking is now placing undue strain on oil and energy suppliers, and upto 100,000 workers have been laid off in the U.S., and numerous oil companies are either in, or facing bankruptcy.

In the UK, the government has given corporations the power to search for oil and gas under homes, without the normal permissions processes, that the local community normally have, through the licensing process, and through local council control and planning laws.

This therefore begs the question, what should we be told, and if we should what we need to do about it.

This video over an hour long explains how we have been duped.

Video:

At almost two and a half hours long this video below gives a full picture of how those in power, are still duping us.

Video:

As these videos suggest, the rise of the corporation and its influence of the political process, suggests we are well on the way to neo-fascism along the lines of Hitler’s Germany. And the energy revolution I spoke of in a previous post can’t come soon enough.

And Michael Ruppert who you saw in the first film, was a man on the inside, who having been threatened and shot at by CIA operatives, left the police force to investigate how the world really works. Here he discusses his findings, shortly before his untimely death at his own hand.

Video:

According to one recent Reuters article, China has now decided to update the world with its Gold holdings on a monthly basis, and has informed us, that they have added another 19 tonnes to their holdings. Not a huge figure given what we have learned of imports and production in recent years, but perhaps it is an attempt to ratchet up pressure on those pesky western bankers in the IMF that have refused entry to the SDR currency basket?

Time you made some changes in your life?

Time to get some Gold? Or Silver? Or Crypto-currency?

W.

Revenge on the Bankers (Part II)

Posted on Updated on

My day began on Friday with news that England & Scotland had renewed their Marriage vows, though not before David Cameron had blubbered like an errant husband, saying – “LOOK! I can change”, just so we wouldn’t have to have this discussion again, anytime soon.

And then later the post came, and the Book, safely packaged arriving in a bubble-wrap envelope. Great, I had been beginning to worry that it hadn’t been sent, or that somehow the post office had lost my address. But I needn’t have been concerned.

It’s the new Bill Bonner book “Hormegeddon”, and I hastily tore open the package, read the accompanying letter, and then settled down with a quickly made cuppa to digest Bill Bonner’s wit, erudition, and learning from over 40years as a trained economist. The pearls of wisdom if you like.

A synopsis of the opening chapter is not about to follow, but the basis of the book is that a little of something can be beneficial, but when you get a whole lot of it, it eventually ends badly. Like receiving a glass of water, or a whole ocean full… And Bill has applied this insight to social systems, politicians, and economics in his own inimitable style.

Some time ago now, I wrote about taking revenge on the Banksters, who having used fractional reserve banking, have increased their control of the economy, and the productive assets of a nation, by allowing them to create currency out of thin air, to give to those on the inside, which allows the Central Bankers and the owners of those printing presses, to buy assets at knock-down prices, in an economic bust, which they themselves have engineered.

By not having currency tied to any particular asset class, making the currency of every major economy, purely paper based and thus essentially valueless, they have got to the point where one suspects, the analogy in Hormegeddon is about to befall us.

If the value of money was tied to any commodity, and that commodity went up in price, the population as a whole would know instantly, that price inflation was taking place.

Of course, when you have a tie to any commodity it has to be agreed which commodity.

At various times throughout history, different commodities have been used.

In early history, people stored whatever they had an excess of. The arable farmer stored grain, that was in excess of his needs, and he traded some with the farmer who had Dairy cows, and other livestock.

The hunter stored furs, and traded some for grain when he found a farmer with excess grain.

Of course the problem for many of these commodities was that they were perishable, and so deteriorated in damp or poor conditions.

People realised that a more permanent medium was needed, so that excesses built up in the good years could be traded for things in the lean years.

This was the start of money. Money is really just savings converted into a form that is more useful.

No savings? No money. No problem.

Of course when some people learned about metals, and began making tools like swords, tips for arrows, belt buckles, stirrups for the better control of horses, and adornments. People began to realise the value of these metals as a store of wealth. And the most precious of those metals were silver and Gold.

These two metals were found in many places in tiny amounts, but also didn’t deteriorate. Gold mined in the 5th Century BC, will still resemble Gold mined last year. And Silver whilst it may have lost some of its shine, will still weigh almost exactly what it did a hundred, or thousand years ago.

Gold, of course, retains its lustre long after it is mined and refined, and even mixed with silver, copper and other metals still retains its size shape, weight and colour. This together with its shine, made it desirable, and thus when in the 6th Century BC, as populations were growing in what is now modern day Turkey, people used this strange metal – called “Electrum” – a mixture of these, in the earliest coins.

By the early middle ages, merchants who travelled in their business were prone to being accosted and their money robbed, which made the carrying of these precious metals dangerous. The Goldsmith realised that if he stored the merchant’s gold and gave the merchant a gold receipt, the merchant could transfer that gold to another by merely signing over some of that wealth, and thus the check was born, and the Gold receipt could be used to pay for things. Thus the Bank note was born.

Later the Goldsmiths began lending money and charging interest, and thus Banks were born. As the economy grew, so did the power of the Goldsmiths, now called Bankers, and as more and more people kept their wealth in the vaults of the Bank, the Bankers realised they could lend out more than they had in storage, and thus fractional reserve banking was born.

As the economy boomed during the 16th to 20th centuries as first the Spanish, the Portuguese, then later the Dutch, French and British began their pursuit of global empires, Banks provided capital for these explorers, and got their pound of flesh, whether the trip was a success or not, though the borrower frequently had to pledge their home, or other chattels.

Over the 250 years since Nathan Mayer Rothschild, sent his five sons to London, Paris, Frankfurt, Naples and Vienna to found the Rothschild empire, things have only gotten bigger.

These sons founded a Rothschild Bank in each of these cities, a truly international Banking system, that allowed the Rothschilds to benefit from local contacts, and to play each country off against the others, when they came to blows, as they had a tendency to do in old Europe.

President Lincoln, was a man who refused to do business with these Rothschilds, who demanded large interest rates to fund the civil war, and for his sins was shot when he began printing the nation’s currency.

Slowly over several generations, these Banker’s wealth and power over the economy grew, especially when they got together and formed Central Banks and colluded with other Central Banks – the largest of these – the ECB, PBoC, BoJ, Fed, and the Central Bank of Central Banks – the BIS (Bank of International Settlements) based as it is in Basel, Switzerland, home of the notoriously secretive Banking fraternity.

Since 1913, the Fed in particular, has exerted greater control over the world, as the printing presses of the United States were used to fund wars, and the military industrial complex. And the savings of the Chinese, Russians, Indians, Brazilians and other developing nations were used to prop up the dollar further extending this power.

Is this all coming to an End?

A slow start to controlling these Bankers in America was taken a few days ago, on 17th September, as a Bill was passed in the U.S. House of Representatives.

Congressman Paul Broun – U.S. Republican, promoted the Bill H.R. 24, the Federal Reserve Transparency Act (Audit the Fed), which passed in the U.S. House of Representatives with strong bipartisan support. H.R. 24 has over 220 co-sponsors and passed overwhelmingly by a 333-92 margin. Broun, released the following statement after the Bill passed…

“Today’s passage of the Audit the Fed bill brings us one step closer towards bringing much-needed transparency to our nation’s monetary policy. For the past 100 years, the Federal Reserve, a quasi-government agency, has acted under a veil of secrecy – controlling our monetary policy and thus, our economy…

While in recent years, the Fed has been granted a greater role in overseeing the regulation of our financial system, current law specifically prohibits audits of the Federal Reserve’s deliberations, decisions, or actions on monetary policy. This lack of accountability and transparency has led to grievous consequences – and it must end.”

In reality, the Fed is a private organisation with its only shareholders, the 6 or so Banking Families who sneaked out of New York in November 1910 to an (at the time) unknown location to create the organisation, that would strangle the U.S. economy several times over the next 100+ years.

Along the way, the Fed has relieved lots of people of their gold, and is alleged to be responsible for the deaths of various Presidents, and others who threatened their little racket.

We have all heard of the depression that occurred commencing in 1929. In order for the U.S. President to commit to the works that would help get the economy working again, he had to spend money he didn’t have, and the only people who could print or produce the money in America at the time was the FED.

However, the credit of the U.S. was not quite as good as it has been over the last 40+ years, and so the Fed forced the President to confiscate the gold and silver of the nation at a fixed price ($25.00/troy oz) and then re-value it when they had almost 7,000 tons to $35.00 an ounce, which with the other 13,000 tons of Gold they took from overrun Europeans, stood the test of time, until 1971, when Nixon ended the Bretton Woods agreement unilaterally.

So, to get to the meat of this piece, one day soon, this power of the Bankers will come to an end – probably VERY badly.

WHY? How? The Internet!

The Internet has changed dozens of industries in the 40years since DARPA (Defence Advanced Research Projects Agency) funded the first basic research into computer communications.

Amazon, Google, Apple, Microsoft, HP, Dell, E-bay, Netflix, MySpace, Facebook, Alibaba et-al. The Internet and these Tech giants have revolutionised whole industries, and the business models that worked before the Internet, have had to be revised, now that potential customers, can meet with potential suppliers electronically. This process is given the grand title of “disintermediation” and it is worrying the Bankers.

Crowd-funding is replacing the traditional role of Banks providing start-up capital; Electronic Stock-brokers are allowing people to trade the markets from home, or wherever their smart-phone happens to be; Digital Money and electronic payments systems initially made Bankers’ life simple, they didn’t even need the printing presses so much, but now with Crypto-currencies, people can trade value without even using their banks – all through the power of the Internet.

The most widely known of these new fangled currencies is Bitcoin, but there are around 80 of these currencies, and their value and power are growing with every passing day. And you can receive FREE Crypto-currencies daily, including Bitcoin from Qoinpro.

Bitcoin is currently valued at over $400, and its two smaller siblings – Litecoin and Feathercoin (which you also receive from Qoinpro) are like Silver and Copper to Bitcoin’s Gold or Britain’s Pounds, shillings and Pence.

Gold and Silver too are not being forgotten in this new world, as organisations are now trading Bitcoins for Silver and Gold making the banking industry all but superfluous in its historical sense. Only the Bullion Vault holders, are doing well, and who are increasingly based in the Far-East as several new vaults have opened there, and just 18months after their opening, they’re almost full to capacity.

As both of these precious metals fall to interim lows, those on the inside of the precious metals markets, are saying that now, as the economy is supposedly on the mend, is exactly the right time to be accumulating.

Many miners too are haemorrhaging as the metal price falls due to paper derivatives being used to manipulate the metal price, but many can’t continue to operate at these levels.

Only the industrial metals miners are keeping supplies coming. Because their precious metals are a by-product of their operation, the price is almost irrelevant to them, as whatever they get is in addition to their industrial mineral operations, but most of the majors who produce the bulk of the metals will either have to cease trading, or close down operations or both.

This is ultimately leading to a supply crunch – particularly in silver.

Silver is both a precious metal and an industrial metal, and demand is soaring.

Every Chinese, Korean and Japanese made i-Phone, Samsung Galaxy, Notepad, Tablet, PC, Nokia, LG, Sony, Toshiba, Canon camera, Nikon, Lumix, Panasonic, MAZDA, Toyota, or British made Ford, Jaguar, Land Rover, or German made BMW, Mini, Mercedes, Audi, or VW… In fact almost every vehicle in the world which is increasingly carrying increasing amounts of electrical and electronic equipment uses silver.

Imagine – China produces 9 million vehicles per year, Britain at its peak produces almost 2million vehicles, and then there’s America, Brazil, France, Italy, Australia, and India as well as all the other smaller nations who build vehicles including Russia and the former Soviet States.

Silver is used in them all. And with digital payments using crypto, how long can the Banks hold out before the system implodes again?

One way to get these Crypto currencies is Qoinpro, who are giving them away free, and will become a coin exchange in the fullness of time charging a small transaction fee as people use their crypto-currencies.

And as for precious metals. China holds just 1% of its $4trillion worth of reserves in Gold. Many believe they will need to have upto 40% of their reserves in Gold. At just 10% that equals $400,000,000,000 worth of Gold at current prices ($1250.00/oz) which would be the equivalent of 320 million troy ounces, or 9,953.11 metric tonnes.

As a result, I believe China will not stop buying Gold until it has around 10,000 metric tonnes.

In 2009, when they last announced their Gold holdings in April, they had just over 1,000 metric tonnes.

Given that they have been buying in increasing amounts and in 2013, that was circa 2,000 metric tonnes, the price longer term is likely to go a lot higher, once their ambitions become more widely known.

And silver which historically has been 1/16th the price of Gold, will likely return to its historical norm.

But perhaps even more, as silver comes out of the ground at just 9:1 it is not outside the bounds of possibility that silver will reach this dizzy height.

Another week – Another Disaster (Mon 11/11/2013)

Posted on

As we learn of Typhoon Haiyan which thrashed through the Philippines over the week-end, totally devastating that country, On this Remembrance Day, we would do well to perhaps think also of those poor souls who lost their lives – Over 10,000 by the latest reckonings – and no doubt this figure will rise as the latest information comes in, With Vietnam now on the receiving end of the now tropical storm, we need also to consider what the costs will be to the wider economy.

Many purchasers of tech products will no doubt have seen “Made in Vietnam” or “Made in the Philippines” stamped, if not on the outside of the box, then on components and sub-assemblies on the insides.

Global supply chains now extend over many countries, and particularly in South-East Asia, with the skills and abilities of the people to build and repair the many damaged factories and logistics chains perhaps unavailable as these people are occupied just surviving and re-building their own lives and homes – will this affect global markets?

This may have devastating consequences for Global Corporations with facilities in the area of the Storm.

Insurance corporations too, may well be hard hit, as the strongest storm ever recorded with wind speeds in excess of 320Kph were recorded. With Hurricane Sandy still so fresh in Americans minds, Katrina of a few years ago, and now the most recent of these storms causing billions of dollars worth of damage, many will be questioning, “What do we need to do to stem these devastating events?”

One answer maybe to take personal responsibility and to slow consumption of oil-based commodities – particularly those which do not get re-cycled. Though even here, one has to consider whether the amount of energy spent in re-cycling, exceeds that which would be used to produce another product of like or greater capability – “What’s the point of re-cycling my old phone, if I also need a new one, which uses less energy to produce and uses energy more efficiently going forward, and recycling would use more energy than that retrieved?” we might ask.

One also has to consider the cost of capital and energy used in building the plant and equipment used to carry out the re-cycling with efficiency.

In a world of limited money (as was the case before the world of elastic currencies) the users of capital would compete for scarce funds, and this would drive up interest rates, as happened in 1906 when the San-Francisco earthquake caused devastation to that city, and Insurance corporations had to disburse to companies and individuals to help in the re-building process, which caused a liquidity trap, and helped precipitate the 1908 financial crisis, which eventually ushered in the Federal Reserve some 5 years later.

These are not easy questions to answer. Without the statistics readily to hand, individual consumers cannot make these decisions easily. This therefore places greater emphasis on transparency and full-disclosure made available by enforcing legislation at the State and International levels.  European legislation here therefore has a bigger role to play in proposing and enforcing these legislative practices.

But we might also wonder, if some countries return to commodity backed currencies (Precious metals being the most likely) then the chance of that happening again increase unless savings increase in line with interest rates. BUT, what would rising interest rates do for the Western economies, given how much has already been borrowed from the printing presses of the Federal Reserve and PBOC and Banks of England and Japan? 

The South East Asian area has had more than its fair share of disasters in recent years too, with the Boxing day Tsunami of 2004, and the one which devastated Fukushima in Japan in October 2011, and to make matters worse, there is increasing volcanic activity in the region with explosions and plumes in Sumatra, and Sunda Islands of Indonesia, Papua New-Guinea and all along the edge of the Australasian tectonic plate.

Is this the start of an era which calls upon the whole world to come together, to assist one another, or are we going to revert to type and become protective of our individual territories and economies, that resulted in the events of the early 20th Century? 

We shall see…

W.