China

When the money (Gold) runs out…

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As governments have used their ammunition in fighting to retain power for their Fiat currencies, the price of Gold and the Exchange Traded Product (ETP) or Exchange Traded Fund as it is more commonly called for Gold – the GLD has fallen.

But there comes a time in every charlatan’s performance when those watching no longer believe in the power of the magician pulling the strings behind the scenes.

In this case the arm of power behind the throne – the Central Banks – have sold or leased much of their Gold to Bullion Banks, who have sold this gold on the markets as their futures contracts came to an end, and the buyers took delivery, rather than as might have happened previously – settled in cash – it is increasingly obvious that as the number of contracts increase and more and more gold heads east to China and India, and north to Russia, and to numerous other central banks worried about their gold held in U.S. vaults, and have begun to increase their holdings, and repatriate their gold from overseas vaults, that it couldn’t go on forever.

And then this piece caught my eye…

http://www.kitco.com/commentaries/2015-09-29/Not-Enough-Gold-To-Pay-All-Holders-Of-Gold-Obligations.html

So what will happen when the gold does really run out?

Initially, I suspect Bankers will settle for cash, but probably have to pay a premium to do so, as those who own the metals contracts extract their pound of flesh. This will probably be under the radar, at first, but it will eventually leak out, and as more and more people have to settle for cash, the premiums will rise. This will feed through into the published prices, as the disconnect between the paper price and the settle price increasingly becomes obvious.

According to figures I’ve seen there are between 100 and 200 contracted ounces, for every real ounce in existence. This is how the Bankers came to dominate the world and its economies. The left hand not letting the right hand know the truth or what it was upto.

Fractional Reserve Lending meant lending out upto 10times the amount held on deposit. Of course this assumes they hold ten per-cent in reserve. BUT in the last ten years, those same bankers have had as little as 3 per-cent and that means they were lending out in excess of 30x their reserves. And that is the reason for the boom, and the bust when we had our Bear Sterns and Lehman moments.

If the Bankers persist in this lending and futures contracts binge, then it will end in disaster for the banks (and us) but at that point, the price of gold – both official and unofficial, will explode to the upside.

Of course in the meantime, as Harry Dent has stated on several occasions, the price may fall in the meantime, as first deflation due to demographics, and his convergence waves take hold, but as has been mooted on Bloomberg today, perhaps QE4 is but a printing press away?

And if it happens, when all that money leaks into the economy?

Can you say Boom?

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Digital Currency – The Last Refuge of a Banking Scoundrel?

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In the news over the weekend, we heard the story that Andrew Haldane, the chief economist and executive director for monetary analysis and statistics at the UK’s Bank of England, has tried to run up the flagpole, the prospect of a digital only currency. America too is discussing this.

Now, why would a Banker do this?

What is a Bank? Primarily it stores savings (Capital) for its customers, and loans out this money (well we’ll call it money for now) to businesses and others to finance the development of new products and services, which add value, assist in growth, employ people, and spread prosperity throughout the nation (or currency union).

However, when a country has excess savings, these are liabilities on the bank’s books, and has been touched on several times throughout the time of this blog, these have to be paid back. However, there may be times when there are fewer good opportunities to loan money out for the banks, with huge amounts of money sitting in savings and today is one such time.

The driving force behind this excess savings is demographics. Demographics is the study of populations. The studies look at birth, and death rates, gender etc, and at how those births and deaths impact the society, and the economy. Where we build schools, hospitals, and even infrastructure like industrial parks.

After the second world war, all those returning service personnel got busy making babies. It happened in America and the Pacific region in ’47, it happened in Europe in ’46, as those two major conflagrations came to an end.

Twenty years later in the sixties, those babies, now young adults drove the swinging sixties, and Carnaby Street, the music and fashion scene as they all began doing what young people do. The children of those people reached maturity 20 years later, in the 80s and early 90s, driving Punk music, New-wave and the New Romantics, the “Acid house” scene, and the Brit-pop and Indie scenes of the 90s. This was the shadow boom as you might call it. These children of the baby-boomers are driving the economy now, as they reach their 40s, and lead consumption spending, but soon this too will slow.

Of course the baby-boomers as they are known, those born after WWII, are now frantically saving for their retirements, buying buy-to-let properties, and investing in their pension funds and therein lies the rub. All that capital going into savings has led to several booms; in Technology, in Housing, and since the 2009 credit crunch, the stock-markets in general. But since early 2012, the baby-boomers have been retiring in droves at the rate of circa 8-10,000 people per day, in the U.S. alone, and because of the low interest rates, and the drive to “save the economy” the Central Banks have loaned the people, and their representatives (governments) huge amounts of money.

America has an $18 Trillion public debt. Britain is in an even worse situation (person for person) with a public debt of £1.4 Trillion ($2Trillion+) And those Bankers are now worried that they might not get their money back.

And what IS money? When money was just Gold and Silver, the Bankers got rich, by lending pieces of paper, that were exchangeable for Gold and Silver, that they had mysteriously created out of nothing more than paper and ink. This fractional reserve lending, grew their power, and grew their immense wealth.

The Houses of Rothschild, Morgan, Seif, Rockefeller and others who ran or owned Banks became the powers behind the thrones of more countries than could be imagined.

Digital Currency Drawbacks?

If we can just take our money “out of the banks”, this should force Bank Presidents to be prudent with it, or, as we saw with Northern Rock, we get a run on the Banks. When our money (or rather currency) is just digits on a Bank Balance sheet, we cannot. This means Bankers can fund whatever they want, without worrying about us cutting off their drug supply.

But a purely digital currency has several other drawbacks too.

With a purely digital currency, EVERY transaction will register on a computer somewhere. Tax Authorities will therefore be able to trace every transaction – And TAX it. That tax goes to pay salaries of government employees, but it also pays for those in politics, who may not always disclose where that money goes: Funding Wars overseas, providing incentives and making deals in private rooms under the guise of “National Security”, and it pays off the loans that bankers make to governments – all made possible by greater tax taking.

But a further worry is that the account details of every person will also need to be held somewhere too, making the prospect of 1984 as written about by George Orwell a frightening reality.

The informal economy disappears too.

Tipping a waiter, a Cabbie, a Pizza Delivery boy or even the Bin-man come Xmas time, becomes almost impossible. The loss of these ways of showing appreciation, potentially makes poor service a given, as with no financial incentive to provide excellent service, these people may offer mediocre service at best, or even leave the industry making many restaurants forced to pay higher wages forcing up costs, and thus reducing the number of visits per week, per month or per year. Giving someone a £50 note for a Birthday present, or Xmas present becomes impossible too. Teenagers everywhere will suffer, and grand-parents will actually have to get to know them and find out what their kids actually need – or want – and they may get a few unusual requests or worse…

But, the one big drawback for everyone, is not zero interest, it is negative interest rates. Which means charging you to hold your money. Anyone with savings in an account, or perhaps as the result of a house sale, becomes just another potential donor to a Banker’s lifestyle.

BUT the ultimate issue is one of liberty and trust. A business deal of old, demanded nothing more than the money, and a handshake. This relied on trust of the money, and the person. In a digital world, all trust comes down to is your credit rating, and your government granted identity number. Perhaps ultimately your radio frequency identification (RFID) chip implanted under your skin, so you don’t even need to carry a bank card.

But it also opens up a world of potential to deny you access to things the government thinks you shouldn’t see, or get access to. In effect WE become slaves to government, and the people who pull their strings, instead of government working for us. And that is the most important reason, why it should NEVER be considered the only way to pay.

“Bank paper must be suppressed and the circulation restored to the nation to whom it belongs.
“The power to issue money should be taken from the banks and restored to congress and the people.
“I sincerely believe that banking establishments are more dangerous than standing armies.
“I am not among those who fear the people. They and not the rich, are our dependence for continued freedom. And to preserve their independence, we must not let our rulers load us with perpetual debt.”

Thomas Jefferson – Former President of the U.S. of A.

And in his farewell address to the people, March 3, 1837, President Andrew Jackson solemnly warned the people against the Banker’s power, after the recent financial crisis; as the “Credit Crunch” is still ringing in our ears, it appears VERY apposite

“We are not left to conjecture how the moneyed power, thus organized, and with such a weapon in its hands, would be likely to use it. The distress and alarm which pervaded and agitated the whole country, when the Bank of the United States waged war upon the people in order to compel them to submit to their demands, cannot yet be forgotten.

The ruthless and unsparing temper with which whole cities and communities were oppressed, individuals impoverished and ruined, a scene of cheerful prosperity suddenly changed into one of gloom and despondency, ought to be indelibly impressed on the memory of the people of the United States. If such was its power in a time of peace, what would it not have been in a season of war, with an enemy at your doors.

No nation but the freeman of the United States could have come out victorious from such contest; yet, if you had not conquered, the Government would have passed from the hands of the many to the hands of the few; and this organized money power, from its secret conclave, would have dictated the choice of your highest officers, and compelled you to make peace or war, as best suited their own wishes. The form of your Government might for a time have remained, but its living spirit would have departed from it.”
(Read more at: The Coming Battle 2013 )

And Finally, if the above comes to pass, what will our International trading partners make of a currency, that can be conjured up on a computer by a banker? If China sells us Cars, Computer Equipment, Smart-phones etc, and all they get in return is a ledger entry on a computer, what confidence will they have that those digits will be worth anything, when they decide to spend them, possibly years later. What would you do if you were China?

If we are ever to have international finance based on trust, then there is only one solution – currency must be in the final analysis, backed by precious metals. and those metals represent true value, even if their value may vary from time to time – but Gold is still gold, and Silver is still silver. Platinum, and Palladium too are useful – usable in catalysts, jewelry and other uses. Silver is usable in 10,000 uses and rising, and its value and availability are about to get a whole lot rarer, and a whole lot more expensive as a result.

So if this does come to pass, who is really in charge in the UK? The Government? or its Financiers?

If you want to move your money out of the Bankers’ way? Then Click Here to get started.
PS:
After posting this I discovered a video clip by Max Keiser of the Keiser Report, which mentions the speech by Andy Haldane. Let me know what you think below.


W.

Chinese Torture?

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Anyone over 50 (at least in the UK.) will no doubt have learned of so-called Chinese Water Torture, which was discussed in the playgrounds of schools the length and breadth of the country during the 50s, and 60s – perhaps this misplaced discussion was just childish minds being over imaginative, or the result of the war films that were the standard fare of the era, or perhaps just the result of propaganda by a biased media, or just by ill-educated professionals, who had been mis-informed and we juniors picked up on it – we can but speculate.

According to the stuff of legend, this involves suspending a bucket or other recepticle full of water in which a small hole has been punctured, such that water will drip out at a fairly consistent rate over a fairly lengthy period of time.

The torture victim, is placed under this recepticle, and strapped in a fixed position. The slow but monotonous dripping, at first appears to offer no threat to the intended victim, but over time, first becomes an inconvenience, then a minor irritation, then an annoyance, then a major irritation, then downright torturous.

The slow drip, drip, drip, ratchets up the pressure on the intended victim…

Applying the Torture?



So, this analogy brings me to the reason for this tortuous piece.

As I wrote some weeks ago, China informed the world, back in May, that they had improved their Gold holdings over the previous six years from April 2009 at 1,065 tonnes to 1,658 tonnes (allegedly – since many commentators think this was significantly under-reported)

According to reports, China announced it had purchased an additional 19 tonnes in July, but news released a few days ago, says they have also now added an additional 16 tonnes in August. This now brings their total to 1,693 tonnes, and according to silverdoctors.com, they’ve imported “a whopping 112 tonnes” so far in the first half of this year from the LBMA, up from the 110tonnes in the whole of 2014.

So is this “Drip, Drip” of additional purchases the equivalent of the torture method mentioned earlier for the FEDs?

China sold some $94 Billion in Treasury Bills, which might also be sending a signal to those in the non-BRICS Banking world.

And according to Alisdair Macleod, who referenced a Zero Hedge article, he said that if nothing else, it confirms the gold market is plagued by disinformation, not limited to Comex. Besides the conflict between the bears in the futures market and the physical bulls, on one day we are told of record Indian gold and silver imports at 126 and 1,400 tonnes respectively for the month of August (Koos Jansen), and of Indian gold demand “remaining weak” (HSBC). The former is a hard number, the latter an opinion, but it is opinions that are quoted most in the mainstream market commentaries.

Also in August, Chinese public demand reported on the Shanghai Gold Exchange totalled 265 tonnes, so between India and China identified demand exceeded the world’s monthly mine output by about 56% – Over half. Given anecdotal evidence of increasing physical demand from elsewhere in Asia and also in western markets by the general public, the drainage of physical gold previously available to cover futures and forward contracts, as well as unallocated bullion bank accounts is at very high levels. No wonder there is so little registered gold in the Comex vaults.

Alisdair Macleod September 3rd 2015, interview…

Now we hear via Jim Willie interviews, that the Tianjin explosion, may MAY, have been a Langley (i.e. CIA) inspired or managed incident. Remember, this was in an industrial park, port, and the home of a chinese super-computer, which according to JW, managed not only financial transactions of the emerging Chinese Banking and Financial Services Industries, but Chinese Military, and with a footprint of 1,000 square feet is HUGE. Within days of the explosion, the whole of the North-East of the U.S. Airline databases went down. Was this a revenge attack by Chinese hackers? We shall never really know, but we can speculate.

As things stand, the British, German and American Financiers, who essentially rule western industry and politics, will have control wrested from them, when the Chinese wrest control of the Gold market, and Precious Metals are priced in Yuan/Renminbi (RMB) and Chinese currency will be required in most trade deals, and many east-asian nations may, MAY only accept Renminbi for their products, and that will help seal the fate of the dollar.

As things stand now, 32 nations have currency swap facilities with China in Chinese currency, as I suggested some months ago, when Saudi-Arabia began discussing oil deals with China, as a way of balancing the emergence of the changes in the oil markets which have driven down oil prices largely because of fracking, and deep water production made possible by cheap money loaned out in the form of Corporate Bonds, we may see oil wars, but therein lies the problem.

As oil prices have collapsed from their 2007 high of $147/barrel, those corporate bonds, and finance raised to drill for shale oil, will come due, and many of those companies, are now struggling to make money. According to Jim Willie, the oil bond market collapse could be greater than the sub-prime crisis, that exploded onto our screens in 2008.

And at this particular point in time, the world credit markets stand on $700 TRILLION worth of derivatives. When the derivatives market collapses, perhaps as a result of those oil bonds, we could be seeing the end of the dollar empire, and thus the end of Western hegemony.

But this is of course all speculation…

However, when this collapse happens those who have savings in Banks, Savings in Stocks, Savings in Pension Funds, IRAs, SIPPs and bonds, will all suffer. When all those savings – excess savings as “Conant” once in the late 1890s called them, sought out productive assets overseas, in the round advocating a dollar Empire in the process, rush for the exits, from assets with counter-party risk, to assets with none, then the long awaited price reset in Precious Metals will begin.

And this price reset, will cause a spike in metals prices as many of those manipulators, who are currently shorting the price using leveraged shorts in such products as ETFs, ETPs, Options, Covered Warrants, CFDs, Spread-Betting accounts, and Binary options accounts, will all be rushing for the exits at the same time.

And where will the carnage lead them? To the one asset class with no counter-party risk.

Have you got yours yet? The sand in the hour-glass may be fast running out, as reports emerge of severe shortages in small denomination coins and bars. 100 Kilo bars are still plentiful in Silver, and larger bars. This may be a fabrication issue – i.e. refineries struggling to keep up with coin and small bar demand, or it may be that there is an emerging shortage of silver in the supply chain. If you were a miner, would you sell your ore into a falling market?

Remember, no-one will sound the bell identifying that now is the time to act. If you haven’t already begun to prepare, time may be fast running out.

It will be prudent too if Jim Rickards and Bill Bonner are correct, who have been following this inevitable crisis from its inception in the 1970s to its current conclusion, advise us to take currency from our bank account, and keep it outside the banking system, while we still can. About a month’s currency should suffice.

The banking crisis in Cyprus, in 2013, and Greece in 2014/15 were just stepping stones on the way to this one. Legislative changes forcing European Banks to seize their depositors’ currency rather than hit tax-payers for another bailout have been put in place. The digits on the banks ledgers are now theirs, not yours. You have been warned.

We’re all slaves now…

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Over the previous weekend, I bought a DVD, of a film, I’d been hoping to watch for some time. I would have gone to the cinema, but my wife prefers Rom-Coms, to historical dramas, and my friends all live disparate lives, so I had to watch it home alone.

It featured that giant of the acting world – Daniel Day-Lewis, in a role he was nominated, and won an Oscar for, having been directed by Steven Spielberg – Lincoln.

The film tells the story of Lincoln’s finals months, as he negotiated with the Confederates who were on the point of being beaten in the Civil War, and also with his own Congress to add the 13th amendment to the constitution. Sally Field played his wife, and her part conveyed the pain that she and Lincoln had to endure as their sons enlisted, or were killed, and as his wife blamed him for their loss.

The 13th amendment effectively brought an end to slavery, and set forth the proposition, that all men were created equal in the eyes of the law, and thus the ownership of another human was contrary to God’s Laws.

The final debates took part in January, and after some political back-slapping and chicanery; The vote, took place, if the film was at all accurate, on 31st January 1865 – almost exactly 150 years ago. The Civil War ended barely three months later and the peace treaty was signed in April of that year.

I mention this, because as a resident and citizen of the U.K, like so many U.S. citizens, the politicians have so indebted us, as to effectively make us all debt slaves to the banksters.

When a Central Bank creates money out of thin-air, to buy up assets, the Bank owners effectively are able to buy assets on the cheap, that they can either sell later at inflated prices, or use to earn income from as a “Rentier”. Bonds being the case in point.

The term “rentier” derived from the French term just prior to the French Revolution, when the various kings, but especially King Louis XVI granted privileges to certain nobility and others who were similarly closely connected to the money power. These privileges granted (for example) the right to collect a toll on a bridge, river crossing or road.

The right to be the monopoly supplier and thus to extract monopoly profits from the citizenry, who became increasingly disenfranchised, dissolute and the poorer while the idle rich were kept in the lifestyles to which they felt obligated.

However, these changes over time, slowly strangled the economy to the point where free trade was stifled. To paraphrase Mrs Thatcher who once intoned something akin to – “They know the price of everything, and the value of nothing.”

These changes ultimately led up to the Revolution, and the former wife of the king – Marie Antoinette issuing her now infamous phrase. When she asked the king why the people were revolting – his reply was “they have no bread” (or words to that affect) to which her reply has become the stuff of legend: “Well let them eat cake.”, though historians suggest this was just “journalistic cliché”

Although these events were important, it wasn’t the real source of the revolution – that was probably because of the financial situation. John Law, a Scot, had introduced in the early 18th century a financial system that inflated land and property prices, disenfranchising those without property, though the economy was also not healthy due to poor harvests, rising food prices, and an inadequate transportation system (due to those privileges mentioned) that made transporting of goods costly and therefore food even more expensive.

The sequence of events leading to the revolution involved the national government’s virtual bankruptcy due to its poor taxation system and the mounting debts caused by numerous large wars between the British and the French.

However, the Americans too once were being bled dry by over taxing authorities in the form of taxes from King George III, and this led ultimately to the Boston Tea Party, where British Cargo Ships were boarded in the dark of the night, and their cargoes of tea bound for England were thrown overboard into Boston Harbour. Thus began the American Revolution.

Which leads me to today.

In the world of offshore asset protection and personal finance, you nearly always come across the claim that there are only two countries that actively tax their residents’ worldwide income: the United States and Eritrea. All other countries only tax income earned at home, though the UK is making steps in that direction.

But, that rule is apparently no longer true.

It turns out that in the early 1990s, Chinese tax officials went on a series of fact-finding missions around the world. One team enjoyed what The New York Times describes as a “long visit” with the IRS, and came away with “a two-volume bound copy of the U.S. tax code and a five-volume copy of I.R.S. regulations.”

After reviewing the materials, the Chinese government decided to write a tax code that would allow them to tax their residents’ worldwide income … the only problem is, they had no idea how to enforce it. And then FATCA came along. Now China knows how to achieve the same.

And given the recent spending on saving American, and other nation’s Banks, the Federal Reserve, have now indebted the people of America and the customers of Europe’s bailed out Banks, to the tune of more than $30 trillion.

With just 325 million Americans, and according to recent evidence, only 63% of the population actively engaged in the workforce, paying that debt has only two possible outcomes – little possibility, and no possibility.

Roughly, 180 million taxpayers, will need to pay almost $95,000.00 each, plus interest (whenever interest rates begin to rise) to pay down this debt, and that’s before any further spending by the successors to Obama’s legacy, or of the unfunded liabilities in medicare, medicaid, pensions or social care.

This indebtedness, is the basis of modern slavery. The UK debt per household is not quite as bad, but is bad enough. the last time I calculated it, it was a mere £76,000 per household of four, but when you break it down to taxpayers, it goes way up.

So you can be forgiven for trying to protect yourself. In the years that follow, I expect governments on both sides of the Atlantic to come after retirees pension pots. We hear so much of how political parties have learned their lessons in regards to spending, but people have short memories, and the parties have too often broken promises, then asked for forgiveness afterwards.

But, one of the ways that you can protect yourself, is with precious metals.

I know, you’ve probably heard this too many times over the last 15 years… You’re probably thinking – “What makes you think precious metals are the answer? “, or “Yeah, right!”.

In the last 15 years, Central Banks have again begun buying Gold, after 30+ years of sales, and falling interest rates, many have asked for their Gold back – Venezuela, Holland, Austria, Germany, or asked to audit their holdings – like Australia.

China has been buying up Gold like there is no tomorrow. India, has historically been the world’s largest buyer, but this has now been overtaken by China’s insatiable lust. And China has been covertly buying from its wholly owned miners, as well as using its huge dollar reserves to buy on the open market, as the Gold price has fallen from its high of 2011.

In fact Jim Rickards has mentioned that he believes that the intention is to protect its huge dollar reserves as the expected dollar collapse occurs, and they’re buying using the dollars they’ve earned selling to the U.S., and loaned the U.S. buying up the Treasury Bonds that have been issued over the last 8+ years but it appears they are now, along with Russia, net sellers of Bonds, and as Jeff Opdyke, Investment Director of Sovereign Society has regularly posted, when China announces its official holdings to the world – all hell will break loose. (though that was done last year in 2015, and to little fanfare)

Because now, they’re increasingly worried about the value of those dollar bonds, and as so many attest, the Chinese are masters of the long game.

It is even possible that China, through the BRICS Development Bank, which Britain recently joined, is seeking to back its currency (at least partially) with Gold, giving it the status that the U.S. has hitherto had.

As inflation begins to pick up in the years ahead, the urge to buy gold, to protect large dollar holdings, will gain traction, and all assets that rise in value with inflation will be chosen as the protection of last resort. But any asset that is the liability of someone else, that may fall to zero, will be sold. And what happens to any asset when everyone wants to sell at the same time?

As interest rates rise, loans will get more expensive, Bond values will fall, and loans will get called in.

Asset values, secured against loans, such as mortgages on property, will fall in value, just as they did in 2008, and that will mean we are back where we were in the “Lehman moment”. Except now, the debt load worldwide, has risen to such a size, that there is no-one big enough to bail out the Central Banks of the world.

Then governments will do what they have always done – seize their citizen’s wealth. (Chancellor Denis Healey famously remarked, he would ” Tax the Rich, until the pips squeaked.” in 1974)

Banks that fail, will seize their depositors money – Cyprus times ten – and Deposit Insurance will not be enough to save the Bank or its Depositors – too Big to fail.

Only precious metals held in the hands, or in secure vaults as custodian assets in safe political environments, with a history of ensuring the sanctity of custody and ownership – not deposit boxes, which governments have now legislated are Bank’s assets, will be safe.

Overseas held precious metals miners too, will mean an opportunity to increase your wealth as the coming collapse unfolds.

One junior miner with assets in at least four countries in Africa, with 18% of a Diamond mine in South-Africa, a 75% ownership of a Nickel mine and smelter in Zimbabwe, a similar ownership of a Gold mine and refinery in the same country, Diamond assets in Angola, and a growing asset base in Democratic Republic of Congo, with a huge gold-copper find there.

To-date, this 9 kilometre rift has only had 3 kilometres explored, and already 2.9 million ounces have been defined as a resource. This miner has a P/E of just 4 (meaning the company earned a quarter of its share value in one year)

Anyone, who has studied markets for any length of time, knows that on average a healthy PE ratio of about 15 is considered normal. Values in excess of 20 are considered expensive, and values below 10, are considered cheap. So a value of 4, means that if the value of the company increases 3 fold, it would still be cheap. I’ll leave you to draw your own conclusions…

And this mysterious company is? ASA Resources on two exchanges – London (AIM: ASA.L) and was  targetted for a hostile takeover, when its board were removed, and its name changed from Mwana Africa (MWA.L).

Of course, this is not a recommendation to purchase, but perhaps an instigation to do your own research…

And if silver is more your thing… One company I have followed for several years which to be honest has only just managed to survive the onslaught of the falling silver prices from the highs of 2011 down to the current silver price of around $16 might be worth your investment research. For many silver miners, the current silver price is below operating costs, but this miner, which was a producer for several years using a toll-mill agreement (i.e. Leasing someone else’s mill and smelter) has managed to survive after divesting itself of some assets, after a failed financing agreement had to be called in and payments went unmade.

There are many, who feel that the silver price, that has fallen so low, will equal the price of gold, as Silver’s industrial uses rise, silver has a wide range of applications. It is found in jewelry, electronics, batteries, mirrors, solar energy, and water purification, just to name a few (10,000 and rising) and the amount of available silver falls. Seventy five years ago, as U.S. president FDR, confiscated that nation’s silver (and Gold), the above ground stocks of precious metals had a 5:1 ratio in favour of silver. In 2013, that ratio had totally reversed, and there was now a 5:1 ratio in favour of gold. Furthermore, there are those who think we may run out of available mine-able silver – TOTALLY – by the mid 2020’s.

Silver is used in small amounts, so small, that recycling would be so costly as to make it almost impossible to achieve economically. And we currently use circa 680 million ounces each year. Though demand in recent years has risen so far, and so fast, with U.S. Silver Dollar Eagle sales rising to previously unheard of levels, that the current price of silver, which is widely believed to be manipulated to protect the dollar hegemony is likely to rise spectacularly, when the price can no longer be held down.

There are a number of reasons why silver may begin its meteoric rise this year. It has already risen from the low $14.00 range to $17, and most of that came in short bursts in February, and April.

India is the single largest consumer of bullion in the world. As the silver price went down globally, consumption went through the roof in India. India’s first quarter 2013 silver demand was up to $1.78 billion — a 311% increase from the previous year. In the first eight months of 2013, silver imports in India reached 4,000 tons, more than doubling imports during the entirety of 2012.

There were two driving forces behind this trend. First, India placed extremely tight restrictions on gold imports. As a result, sentiment in precious metals shifted towards silver. The second factor here is inflation. With the Indian Rupee inflating a staggering 9.3%, it’s no wonder the nation was buying as much silver as they can get their hands on. The peak silver import hit 5,819 tons in 2013, which was the all-time highest it had ever been.

Industrial applications for silver make up nearly half of global silver consumption, and a rebound in global manufacturing is going to drive up demand. The JP Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI has indicated growth for 19 months straight, while factories in the U.S., UK, and Asia reported increases in activity.

In 2013, there were two devastating landslides at Rio Tinto’s (NYSE: RIO) Bingham Canyon mine in Utah, one right after the other. Over 165 million tons of rock went down to the mine floor, suspending production indefinitely.

This event was, without exaggeration, a catastrophe. It was called the biggest non-volcanic landslide in the history of the United States, and is considered the first landslide to have triggered earthquakes (instead of the other way around, which is common). Fortunately, no one was injured by the slide.

The Bingham County mine is the second largest silver mine in the U.S. and accounts for a staggering 16% of national silver production. So we’re talking about four million ounces of silver per year that have essentially vanished — a strong catalyst for a rise in prices

Silver hit its peak value in 2010, going from $16.94 per ounce all the way up to $49. Since then, the price has come down, but demand hasn’t – it has only grown.

In the first quarter of 2013, silver ETFs purchased 20 million ounces of silver.  And in June of 2013, the world’s largest silver fund added a record of 572 tons to its inventory — more than all of its 2012 purchases combined.

This is incredibly important, because it shows us where smart money is going in the market.

And the company I was telling you about has a property in Zacatecas in Northern Mexico, a historical silver mining district. Four rounds of drilling have identified 50 million ounces in the proven category, and 80 million ounces in the probable category, The company is Arian Silver (AIM: AGQ.L)  with  113.69 million shares in issue, at 1.25 pence, when the silver price rises to $100.00+ I have been expecting, this company will rise with it.

 

However, I have also learned of another Copper, Gold and Silver miner, with huge reserves, and the cash to develop it, though some political interference from the government has squashed some of the enthusiasm, and taken some of the shine off it in Mongolia, which does not have a history of stable political institutions and a threat to improve the 30% government holding by an incoming President, brought the share price down thundering from its highs of $27, to its currentlevel. Turquoise Hill Resources though (TRQ.TSX) has huge resources, and is off the radar for many investors at the moment. A fresh rise in metals prices will bring this miner back into focus, and with such huge reserves, and a major corporation in Rio-Tinto, and with the share price at £1.91(C$3.52) as at 26/4/16 these are set to rise

TRQ - Moonshot in the making?
Production figures show rising production at a time of rising prices…

Inevitably we can not know when the Gold and Silver prices will rise to that extent, but it is my sincere view, that we are about 3-5 years away from the steepest rises, but that we may see smaller rises over the period between now and then.

You pays your money, and takes your choice.

Transition Vamp? Or “How the Crash will be won!”

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Earthrise-4

Imagine for a moment, you are sitting on the moon, watching the world as it moves silently across your moon-scape sky.

Down beneath you on Earth, the Japanese are building cars and electronic equipment, Chinese are building new blocks of flats for people who can’t afford them. Building Railroads to cities that are inhabited by ghosts; building roads that cars don’t yet need, buying up iron ore, steel mills, and factory machinery; building ever larger vessels to trade across oceans. Buying American Hotels, Tower blocks, and Bank buildings. And quietly accumulating Gold and Silver, like there is no tomorrow, and a nascent motor industry is taking root.

Americans in their laboratories, are busily inventing new bio-tech remedies to prevent and treat new diseases. Hi-tech entrepreneurs, are designing new software to create new mega-corporations, and software already written, but which we haven’t learned about yet, is being improved upon, and new uses for old energy sources (more of which later) is being developed.

Meanwhile, British businesses, funded by capital from around the world, are building class leading vehicles in Crewe, home of Rolls Royce, and Coventry home of Jaguar Land-Rover, is busy building world-class Jaguars, and Range Rovers as well as numerous other towns and cities too, with increasingly successful manufacturing, all funded from capital raised on world markets, by the financial wizards inhabiting the square mile, where property values there, have been rising in line with the wealth created the world over, but which for its own reasons, seems hell-bent on buying a little piece of this over-crowded country.

Germans are building VWs, Mercedes, Porsches and Audis… Italians their Ferraris, Fiats, Alfas, Lamborghinis and Maseratis, and the French, their Peugeots, Renaults and Citroens – to say nothing of the Russian, Czech, Chinese, Brazilian, Indian, Mexican, U.S. or any other vehicle manufacturer. In 2011, there were 77 million cars, light goods and SUVs, sold worldwide. 2012 saw sales of 81 million, and last year that reached 85 million. By 2018, the world is expected to reach 104 million. Most of that growth will come from China, South America, and South-East Asia.

The world is a-buzz, a hive of activity, as trade and commerce travels around the globe as the world turns, and the sun appears over the Earth’s eastern horizon, only to disappear some hours later, depending on where in the world the worker lives and their latitude.

But unless, you are mistaken, no truck, ship, train, plane, or rocket takes off to trade with another planet.

It is a closed commercial system. Value accumulated on one side of the planet comes from increasing the stock of goods and services, and from extracting value from others. It does not come from outside the planet. What affects one side of the planet, affects the others.

As one side of the planet accumulates, Dollars, Yen, Pounds, and Euros, and all manner of metals, both rare and widely available, precious and semi-precious, and quietly putting them into vaults, or in warehouses.
On that side they are also accumulating holdings in suppliers that give them control, or serious stakes in smaller mining and refining businesses.

On the other side of the world, Americans are accumulating debts and losing their wealth to their Bankers who hold their government in debt to the respective owners of this central Bank – The Fed – $17 Trillion and counting.

Who has the right idea? The world is transitioning. We are moving from the computer age, the PC age, to the information age, where “Big Data”, and “Cloud Storage” is being touted as the way that governments and corporations can grow their revenues.

And, as old industries are dying, new ones are just beginning to emerge and grow. Research and development is going on in labs in Bio-Tech, Energy, Rare-Earths and special metallic elements, and alloys – Beryllium and Thorium, and the 17 Light and Heavy Rare earths.

Where will it all take us?

We can make a guess…

End of the Banking Industry as we know it?

On November 30th, Switzerland goes to the polls. Not to elect a government, or President or any other official. No, the people of Switzerland, concerned at their Central Bank’s abuse of its monetary powers, are voting to return to a partial gold Standard, which would require the Central Bank to carry at least 20% of its reserves in Gold; would not be able to sell any, and would have to return to Swiss soil, any bullion held overseas.

Germany too recently asked to repatriate its Gold holdings at the Fed, all 674 tons of it. To-date, the Fed has been able to send back just 5 tons, and initially stated it would take 7 years, though at current rates it would take over 150.

And nobody really knows exactly how much of the 1,040 tons of Swiss gold is actually stored at the Fed.

And we can only guess how soon the Central Bank would start to accumulate, and at what rate if the vote goes against them (the earliest opinion poll gave the ‘Yes’ camp a small lead). But if or when they do, the dollar is toast, as physical bullion begins being bought, and the market cannot deliver.

When this happens, the premium (the physical price over the paper price) begins to rise. Back in 2011, the premium reached over $50, as India, and China, Russia and the other BRICS nations began their stealth abandonment of the dollar.

India has recanted somewhat on its deal with the devil, as the Indian public began buying Gold and Silver to protect themselves from what is to come, before they (the Indian government) slapped a 10% sales tax on Gold, and instigated legislation requiring that 20% of precious metals be re-exported in value-added form. The so-called 80:20 rule. But Indian manufacturers have been getting creative. Some industry insiders say that manufacturers are turning the gold bars into chains at a mere 1.5% premium, for export, and then re-buying it back as a bar.

Following the legislation, precious metals dealers harangued the government, and the people of India began buying silver with both hands. And a new trend emerged as young Indians began buying 18 carat gold, rather than the 24 carat of historical norms.

However, the Indian Commerce Ministry figures also showed gold imports trebled at $2.04 billion in August 2014, compared with the same period a year ago. In August last year, imports totalled $739 million after the RBI imposed the 80:20 rule.

According to the Gems and Jewellery Promotion Council’s provisional data, gold jewellery exports have doubled during April-August this fiscal year compared with the same period last year. Data also shows exports rising to $2.12 billion against $1.04 billion a year-ago.

The Commerce Ministry data showed gold and other precious metals jewellery rising nearly 25 per cent during April-July compared with a year-ago but Gold imports, on the other hand, were down nearly by half during the period. I’ll leave you to decide whose figures are most accurate… And in the run up to the Indian celebration of Diwali, gold imports soared five-fold over 2013. And are expected to run at 70-75tonnes per month for the rest of the year.

On the one hand, the trade is complaining that gold smuggling is affecting their business badly, but on the other… “When asked how they are managing to get gold, jewellers say that 70 per cent of their demand is met through smuggling,” said Satish Bansal, Managing Director of MD Overseas Ltd, at a gold convention in Pune recently.

China too has been quietly accumulating. And we know (or strongly suspect) from document FT900 (see previous article) that some of the Gold has been secretly coming from the Fed’s vaults at the rate of circa 200+tons a year.

During the last financial crisis, the Fed, added almost $3 trillion to its own balance sheet. But we also know from Lord James of Blackheath that he uncovered that the Fed, sent $15 Trillion in 3 tranches of $5 Trillion each, just weeks apart through the Royal Bank of Scotland, which were passed onto other MTN Banks in Europe. (MTN means Medium Term Note, and is the name given to Banks who handle these in terms of Government and Large Corporation Finance. Monies can be deposited at overnight rates as high as 2.5%)

He released the information live on air, in the chamber of the House of Lords, and those interested can still find the piece on YouTube.

But also via the Fed’s FX liquidity swap lines the Fed also bailed out foreign Central Banks, which in turn took the money and funded their own banks.

It turns out that is only half the story: we now know the Fed also acted in a secondary bail out capacity, providing over $350 billion in short term funding exclusively to 35 foreign banks, of which the biggest beneficiaries were UBS, Dexia and BNP.

Since the funding provided was in the form of ultra-short maturity commercial paper it was essentially equivalent to cash funding. In other words, between October 27, 2008 and August 6, 2009, the Fed spent $350 billion in taxpayer funds to save 35 foreign banks.

And here people are wondering if the Fed will ever allow stocks to drop: it is now more than obvious that with all banks leveraging the equity exposure to the point where a market decline would likely start a Lehman-type domino, there is no way that the Fed will allow stocks to drop ever…

Until such time as nature reasserts itself, we will have market gyrations. The Fed is manipulating the market, and the oscillations of the last two weeks as various commentators have mentioned is because of this, the alternative, is that the Fed is finally wiped out – one way or another.

The Fed in the 08 crisis, also bailed out Barclays and RBS, to the tune of $640 Billion to help these two banks to buy the assets of Lehman Brothers, presumably in the UK).

The $350billion in short-dated paper, was the equivalent of re-capitalizing these banks.

The 35 Banks bailed out were:

UBS (Union Bank of Switzerland)
Dexia SA
BNP Paribas (Banque Nationale de Paris)
Barclays PLC
Royal Bank of Scotland Group
Commerzbank AG
Danske Bank A/S
ING Groep NV
WestLB
Handelsbanken
Deutsche Post AG
Erste Group Bank AG
NordLB
Free State of Bavaria
KBC
HSH Nordbank AG
Unicredit
HSBC Holdings PLC
DZ Bank AG
Republic of Korea
Rabobank
Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation
Banco Espirito de Santo SA
Bank of Nova Scotia
Mizuho Corporate Bank, Ltd.
Syngenta AG
Mitsui & Co Ltd
Bank of Montreal
Caixa Geral de Depósitos
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group
Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd
Mitsubishi Corp
Aegon NV
Royal Bank of Canada
Sumitomo Corp

And four days ago, 25 European Banks failed stress tests, forcing them to raise extra capital to reinforce their balance sheets.

When the inevitable happens, the solution to this might just be… to get a whole lot wealthier, and there are two companies I feel, could help in that regard.

One is a Corporation I’ve been researching from North Virginia… Lightbridge Corporation (US:LTBR), and is one of these companies hinted at earlier.

Lightbridge holds U.S. Patent number – 8,654,917 and this provides for a method to develop and use nuclear fuel-rods, that contain Thorium, in such a manner, that this enables existing Nuclear Reactors, including PWRs (Pressurised Water Reactors) which are commonly used in American Nuclear facilities to get better power output, while lowering costs, reducing the risk of meltdown, as the vessel operates at reduced temperature (1,000 degrees less) and the waste material is only one tenth as dangerous when the spent fuel is stored, allowing greater storage density thus saving capital costs going forward, and almost completely eliminating the production of enriched plutonium, thus limiting scope for the further proliferation of nuclear weapons.

The benefits on the face of it, will give energy producers scope to compete on favourable terms with other more unreliable energy sources, and even compete favourably with Liquid Natural Gas and Compressed Natural Gas.

And the number of new reactors proposed or being built, despite the political reticence since Fukushima in 2011, is rising rapidly, even in places like the middle-east – such as Syria, Egypt, Iran and Saudi-Arabia.

Lightbridge’s web-site has this to say about itself:

“Lightbridge is a US nuclear energy company based in McLean, Virginia with operations in Abu Dhabi, Moscow and London. The Company develops proprietary, proliferation resistant, next generation nuclear fuel technologies for current and future nuclear reactor systems. The Company also provides comprehensive advisory services for established and emerging nuclear programs based on a philosophy of transparency, non-proliferation, safety and operational excellence.

Lightbridge’s breakthrough fuel technology is establishing new global standards for safe and clean nuclear power and leading the way to a sustainable energy future. Lightbridge consultants provide integrated strategic advice and expertise across a range of disciplines including regulatory affairs, nuclear reactor procurement and deployment, reactor and fuel technology and international relations.

The Company leverages those broad and integrated capabilities by offering its services to commercial entities and governments with a need to establish or expand nuclear industry capabilities and infrastructure.

Lightbridge is well positioned to serve the growing market for next generation nuclear fuel. Global nuclear power generation which is projected to nearly double by 2030, due to expansion in Asia. Worldwide, there are 435 reactors are in operation today. Another 70 reactors are under construction, with 29 in China and six in India. An additional 473 reactors are on order, planned or proposed around the world. For the first time in more than 30 years, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission in 2012 approved construction and operating licenses for four U.S. reactors. License applications are pending for 27 reactors in 14 states. Nuclear power generation is less expensive per megawatt and more reliable with longer lasting plants, compared with wind and solar generation.”

And the UK., too recently announced the Hinckley ‘B’ power station would be built by French Nuclear Energy Giant – EdF.

Lightbridge also has a $52 million order backlog it’s plugging through right now… and orders keep on pouring in, for consultancy services.

Now any company where the senior management doesn’t have substantial shareholdings, concerns me, but thankfully the Company’s largest shareholder is the CEO, and co-founder – Seth Grae, currently holding 1,255,008 shares representing 8.33% of the total stock. Access to a large Thorium mineral reserve will be important too, and fortunately for Lightbridge, a new vein system has been discovered in Nevada.

Quite frankly, if their material is widely adopted – and why wouldn’t it? – then LTBR’s stock price can only go skyward. Given that they are currently less than $2, and with just 15 million shares in issue where the market capitalisation ends up is considerably higher.

Over the longer term, I suspect this will be at least 10x higher.

The other Corporation is a mining and refining company based in South Africa. The company owns a huge tract of land containing large platinum and palladium reserves (PGMs) on a 5,000-hectare site located south of the Merensky and UG2 reefs being mined by Anglo Platinum and Impala Platinum, two of the biggest players in the industry and is the largest undeveloped platinum project in the world…

In the past, mining these ores was not the problem, but refining them was, as these ores are Chromium rich, which frequently caused problems with the arc furnaces. The company bought the site and the technology in an exclusive licence agreement to use an alternative roasting and smelting process called ConRoast, which was developed originally by Mintek. Mintek, is South Africa’s national mineral research organisation, and reports to the Minister of Minerals and Energy.

Mintek, licenced the new technology to a small miner called Braemore Resources, who ran out of cash during the last financial crisis, and who merged with the company in question. Its prime development asset is the Tjate Platinum project, where it has a 63% interest, and which covers 5,140 hectares adjacent to Anglo Platinum’s Twickenham and Impala Platinum’s Marula operations.

According to independent estimates, the project’s exploration area could contain some 65 million ounces of platinum, palladium, rhodium and gold. At the moment the total is 20.4 million ounces in the inferred category, and 1.97 million ounces indicated, but there is clearly more to come. Tjate can already be described as the world’s largest undeveloped block of defined platinum ore.

Given the above projections for vehicles, and given that most of those vehicles will require catalytic converters, that use PGMs to reduce noxious gases from exhausts, the demand for platinum, and palladium are going to rise, and therefore, shortages are inevitable. China’s smog problems will only get worse, unless each oil-based energy source uses catlysts to remove toxic emissions from exhaust gases.

The company’s technological lead, and patented technology until 2018, should see a rise over the longer term.
And stocks of both of these precious metals are at lows…  Jubilee Platinum (JLP:AIM) the company in question which has fallen to interim lows, might just be the turnaround target of larger more cash-rich majors.

My rating for both corporations is a medium to longer term – BUY.

W.

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Note:
No shares are currently held by anyone connected with this story, and will not be for a minimum of 72 hours from the posting of this story. The story is meant purely for educational purposes, and any rating is for personal use. The reader is strongly advised to seek professional guidance as to any share purchases. Share prices can go down as well as up, and you may lose considerable sums by choosing to invest in them. The author accepts no liability for actions taken by, or on behalf of readers.

The Politics of Different economic models – Do they matter?

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Old-Bailey-ScalesOfJusticeI’ve been giving some thought to, Monopolies and Oligopolies and Geo-Politics recently.

Many economists will tell you that both Monopolies and Oligopolies are detrimental to the economy. Monopolies generally are not allowed to exist – and where they do exist, they are generally in state control. Mostly in countries with one-party or no-party apparatus, whether that be Fascist, or communist and for many reasons, these two regimes allow or enable them, and share one common thread.

Both state types seek to compel people to do or not do, things that are, or are not in their own best interests – depending on the “thing” we are referring to.

Communists disallow ownership, and vest almost everything in the state, while the Fascist country vests the wealth of the country in the hands of one or a few “wise men” who own the bulk of the productive assets, and tax the rest of the society to pay for things that are generally considered in the nation’s good.

Oligopolies are a slightly different matter.

These have a tendency to become cartels, where these organisations secretly work to protect their own interests, while apparently working for the good of the customer and the nation, it is obviously not competitive, so are not in the consumer’s interest, but governments quite like these because it makes taking policy decisions easier to implement, when they can get the heads of these half-dozen or so corporations in one room – after taking their advice of course.

Here in the UK, we have an oligopoly in the energy market, and for this reason it’s heavily regulated, though if the energy regulator wasn’t trying to get them to improve their customer service, they might be focussed on the thing, that consumers worry about more – prices.

But there’s another oligopolistic industry, and monopolistic practice that is at the root of many other problems in Western Societies.

Banking oligopolies, and Monopolistic Central Banks.

The Central Bank determines the supply of the currency, and the governments allow this, in its own self-interest. The government can pay its bills with money it doesn’t have, which it otherwise would have to tax from its taxpayers, instead it borrows from the bankers, and then has to pay interest, which steals from the citizens, silently through the process of price inflation.

But what it takes with one hand, it gives with the other, in higher stock-market values, and rising asset prices – which benefits those wealthier citizens, who own stocks, properties and other financial assets. This makes those on limited incomes fall further back in the “getting on the ladder” rungs of success.

It happens through the agents of the Central Bank, the major clearing Banks, who form an effective oligopoly linked into this nefarious practice, (also as their owners – as in this case – of the Federal Reserve) while the population are enslaved by debt-slavery, because their taxes are used to pay the interest of the debts to these banks, who buy these Treasuries, using money they don’t really have, but who get it from their paymaster – the Central Bank.

Of course, for all this to work, people have to keep their wealth in cash form, or invested in things that can be manipulated for the ends of the Bankers. – homes, the stock-market, bank deposits etc,

Of course, they would deny this… but as Mrs Margaret Thatcher once opined: “They would say that, wouldn’t they?”

But, once people begin saving their wealth in forms that can’t be taxed, or that the authorities – the government, and the Bankers can’t manipulate, governments and politicians begin to worry.

For example: Crypto-currencies are things that Bankers fear, because they don’t control them, and aren’t taxable – at least not yet. If you have these great. If you haven’t, then perhaps you ought to check them out at Qoinpro. After all, if you can’t beat ’em, then join ’em. And numerous Bank employees and senior executives are now buying into these in increasing amounts – in particular – Bitcoin.

After all, for hundreds of years, the Bankers have controlled the printing presses that gave them immense power over the country and its institutions.

It was President Andrew Jackson of the United States who commented that:

“Banks of issue, are more dangerous than standing armies”

And Thomas Jefferson, who said:

“Paper is poverty. It is not money, it is the ghost of money.”

So what did they mean? As I’ve previously explained, paper currency is a receipt for money, while real money is both Gold and Silver.

So, why do they fear them?

If we look back into history, a Bank Note once said with authority – “I promise to pay the bearer on demand the sum of …”

The missing words originally were the sum involved – ‘in Gold’, or ‘in Silver’ depending on the country of origin, or as the twenty dollar bill from the early 1900s stated: “There has been deposited twenty dollars in gold at the Federal Reserve”

And this prevented the Central Bankers from printing too many of them, unless they had the gold in the vaults to back that up. It meant they could only lend out “savings”.

But what they do now, is lend out debt – because there is no savings, or nowhere near enough at any rate. And when that happens, we are borrowing from our children’s future – Which is fine for investments that add to our stock of goods, but what about those debts used for holidays or other consumption services? And what if they can’t be re-paid?

It also means the taxpayers of the future – our children, and their children, will have to pay off these debts through higher taxation, or face a lower standard of living through reduced government services, and experience greater control of their lives by a centralising government.

All industries tend to grow towards having a few large entrants, before newer entrants change things and shake up the industry just as Tesla has shaken up the motor industry in the U.S..

As a further example: TESCO, the UK’s largest of the big 4 grocery retailers, has suffered recently in this fall-out, suffering a 50% share-price decline, as new entrant Aldi has grown its profits by 65%.

And to get to the geo-political issues, as ISIS rears its head in the middle-east, and Ukraine hots up, and once more unrest in Libya is raising its ugly head again, and now I hear two nuclear nations are on the brink of a conflagration, as Islam butts up against alternative lifestyles and religions. Many of these wars could embroil the west, and that will mean the amount of money the west needs to spend to fund its military activities, could be the straw that breaks the camel’s back. As stock markets have reeled in recent days, perhaps the market collapse that many predicted is already upon us.

And apparently the Indian and Pakistani peoples are on the verge of yet another major war between these two nuclear powers. And this is over a resource that neither can afford to lose – water.

Of course with both governments in dispute over the region of Kashmir, in the mountains of the north, the two governments came to an agreement over the Indus river many years ago, which allowed for both nations to tap into this resource which flows through the region, and they have already fought four wars over the territory.

But, since the agreement, both nation’s populations have risen exponentially. India now has a population of 1.2BILLION, while Pakistan has 178million.  With senior figures in Pakistan now talking of Jihad, as India extracts more water, this is raising tensions, as Pakistan has only 30 days supply for the whole country.

The Indus river travels the whole length of Pakistan, from its source in Kashmir, to emerge near the Capital Karachi, on the west of the Indian subcontinent, and is responsible for 90% of Pakistan’s water needs. The river holds such a powerful drag on the nation’s minds, because it is used to generate electricity, and is responsible for 50% of Pakistan’s employment.

It could be used to trigger Pakistan’s “first use” policy, starting a nuclear war, given that many Pakistanis are affiliated to one of eight different radical Islamic organisations, who recently formed a joint committee of Jihad. Kashmir could well be that straw that breaks the world’s financial back, causing relations between allies to worsen, triggering a new world war.

Rising tensions and a nuclear war would be hugely detrimental to world economy and financial markets, as Pakistan and India fight over this precious liquid.

Prices of stock-markets would go into free-fall, as much as 40% almost overnight, and trigger losses on derivatives, which as some highly influential, and well-informed people now believe, is as much as 10 times the notional value of the world’s economy – or some 700 TRILLION American dollars.

If that happens, then the flight to safe haven assets will be huge, and if you don’t physically, own either Gold or Silver, your wealth could be totally eliminated. The world’s economy could be so badly damaged, that for a time supply chains break down, and Banking organisations suffer, like Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers in 2008,  reducing many corporations to pennies on the dollar as their chickens come homes to roost.

As a result, Indian Gold price premiums were as high as $50+ in 2012, despite government attempts to stem Gold imports, as the population eschewed rupees for Gold and Silver. Silver, now at prices not seen since 2009/10, could rise over its previous peak of circa $50, and take out a new all-time high.

As Warren Buffet, who has run Berkshire Hathaway since its inception, and where one share currently costs over $200,000, has been repeatedly quoted as saying in relation to markets: “Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.”

Now is the time to be greedy where silver is concerned as the world uses approximately 200 million ounces more than it produces. Sometime soon, those who cannot run their businesses without silver, will find they will have to cease operations because there isn’t any available, and the price will have to rise, to enable supply to increase.

And in 2013, not only have the Chinese and Russian Central Banks been buying Gold – But RUSSIAN Banks too bought 181.4 Tons of Gold in 2013.  It was more than double that of Russia’s Central Bank additions in 2013.

The biggest buyers according to the Russian Finance Ministry include:
– Sberbank (48.5 tons),
– VTB (38.9 tons),
– Gazprombank (29.1 tons),
– Nomos Bank (19.6 tons),
– Lanta Bank (8.6 tons).

And if this has intrigued you, as to WHY? You can learn how these bankers over 2 centuries worked towards enslaving the people of Europe, Britain and America, in my book: “The Coming Battle – 2013” and you can learn how YOU can claim back your liberty.

W.

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Revenge on the Bankers (Part II)

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My day began on Friday with news that England & Scotland had renewed their Marriage vows, though not before David Cameron had blubbered like an errant husband, saying – “LOOK! I can change”, just so we wouldn’t have to have this discussion again, anytime soon.

And then later the post came, and the Book, safely packaged arriving in a bubble-wrap envelope. Great, I had been beginning to worry that it hadn’t been sent, or that somehow the post office had lost my address. But I needn’t have been concerned.

It’s the new Bill Bonner book “Hormegeddon”, and I hastily tore open the package, read the accompanying letter, and then settled down with a quickly made cuppa to digest Bill Bonner’s wit, erudition, and learning from over 40years as a trained economist. The pearls of wisdom if you like.

A synopsis of the opening chapter is not about to follow, but the basis of the book is that a little of something can be beneficial, but when you get a whole lot of it, it eventually ends badly. Like receiving a glass of water, or a whole ocean full… And Bill has applied this insight to social systems, politicians, and economics in his own inimitable style.

Some time ago now, I wrote about taking revenge on the Banksters, who having used fractional reserve banking, have increased their control of the economy, and the productive assets of a nation, by allowing them to create currency out of thin air, to give to those on the inside, which allows the Central Bankers and the owners of those printing presses, to buy assets at knock-down prices, in an economic bust, which they themselves have engineered.

By not having currency tied to any particular asset class, making the currency of every major economy, purely paper based and thus essentially valueless, they have got to the point where one suspects, the analogy in Hormegeddon is about to befall us.

If the value of money was tied to any commodity, and that commodity went up in price, the population as a whole would know instantly, that price inflation was taking place.

Of course, when you have a tie to any commodity it has to be agreed which commodity.

At various times throughout history, different commodities have been used.

In early history, people stored whatever they had an excess of. The arable farmer stored grain, that was in excess of his needs, and he traded some with the farmer who had Dairy cows, and other livestock.

The hunter stored furs, and traded some for grain when he found a farmer with excess grain.

Of course the problem for many of these commodities was that they were perishable, and so deteriorated in damp or poor conditions.

People realised that a more permanent medium was needed, so that excesses built up in the good years could be traded for things in the lean years.

This was the start of money. Money is really just savings converted into a form that is more useful.

No savings? No money. No problem.

Of course when some people learned about metals, and began making tools like swords, tips for arrows, belt buckles, stirrups for the better control of horses, and adornments. People began to realise the value of these metals as a store of wealth. And the most precious of those metals were silver and Gold.

These two metals were found in many places in tiny amounts, but also didn’t deteriorate. Gold mined in the 5th Century BC, will still resemble Gold mined last year. And Silver whilst it may have lost some of its shine, will still weigh almost exactly what it did a hundred, or thousand years ago.

Gold, of course, retains its lustre long after it is mined and refined, and even mixed with silver, copper and other metals still retains its size shape, weight and colour. This together with its shine, made it desirable, and thus when in the 6th Century BC, as populations were growing in what is now modern day Turkey, people used this strange metal – called “Electrum” – a mixture of these, in the earliest coins.

By the early middle ages, merchants who travelled in their business were prone to being accosted and their money robbed, which made the carrying of these precious metals dangerous. The Goldsmith realised that if he stored the merchant’s gold and gave the merchant a gold receipt, the merchant could transfer that gold to another by merely signing over some of that wealth, and thus the check was born, and the Gold receipt could be used to pay for things. Thus the Bank note was born.

Later the Goldsmiths began lending money and charging interest, and thus Banks were born. As the economy grew, so did the power of the Goldsmiths, now called Bankers, and as more and more people kept their wealth in the vaults of the Bank, the Bankers realised they could lend out more than they had in storage, and thus fractional reserve banking was born.

As the economy boomed during the 16th to 20th centuries as first the Spanish, the Portuguese, then later the Dutch, French and British began their pursuit of global empires, Banks provided capital for these explorers, and got their pound of flesh, whether the trip was a success or not, though the borrower frequently had to pledge their home, or other chattels.

Over the 250 years since Nathan Mayer Rothschild, sent his five sons to London, Paris, Frankfurt, Naples and Vienna to found the Rothschild empire, things have only gotten bigger.

These sons founded a Rothschild Bank in each of these cities, a truly international Banking system, that allowed the Rothschilds to benefit from local contacts, and to play each country off against the others, when they came to blows, as they had a tendency to do in old Europe.

President Lincoln, was a man who refused to do business with these Rothschilds, who demanded large interest rates to fund the civil war, and for his sins was shot when he began printing the nation’s currency.

Slowly over several generations, these Banker’s wealth and power over the economy grew, especially when they got together and formed Central Banks and colluded with other Central Banks – the largest of these – the ECB, PBoC, BoJ, Fed, and the Central Bank of Central Banks – the BIS (Bank of International Settlements) based as it is in Basel, Switzerland, home of the notoriously secretive Banking fraternity.

Since 1913, the Fed in particular, has exerted greater control over the world, as the printing presses of the United States were used to fund wars, and the military industrial complex. And the savings of the Chinese, Russians, Indians, Brazilians and other developing nations were used to prop up the dollar further extending this power.

Is this all coming to an End?

A slow start to controlling these Bankers in America was taken a few days ago, on 17th September, as a Bill was passed in the U.S. House of Representatives.

Congressman Paul Broun – U.S. Republican, promoted the Bill H.R. 24, the Federal Reserve Transparency Act (Audit the Fed), which passed in the U.S. House of Representatives with strong bipartisan support. H.R. 24 has over 220 co-sponsors and passed overwhelmingly by a 333-92 margin. Broun, released the following statement after the Bill passed…

“Today’s passage of the Audit the Fed bill brings us one step closer towards bringing much-needed transparency to our nation’s monetary policy. For the past 100 years, the Federal Reserve, a quasi-government agency, has acted under a veil of secrecy – controlling our monetary policy and thus, our economy…

While in recent years, the Fed has been granted a greater role in overseeing the regulation of our financial system, current law specifically prohibits audits of the Federal Reserve’s deliberations, decisions, or actions on monetary policy. This lack of accountability and transparency has led to grievous consequences – and it must end.”

In reality, the Fed is a private organisation with its only shareholders, the 6 or so Banking Families who sneaked out of New York in November 1910 to an (at the time) unknown location to create the organisation, that would strangle the U.S. economy several times over the next 100+ years.

Along the way, the Fed has relieved lots of people of their gold, and is alleged to be responsible for the deaths of various Presidents, and others who threatened their little racket.

We have all heard of the depression that occurred commencing in 1929. In order for the U.S. President to commit to the works that would help get the economy working again, he had to spend money he didn’t have, and the only people who could print or produce the money in America at the time was the FED.

However, the credit of the U.S. was not quite as good as it has been over the last 40+ years, and so the Fed forced the President to confiscate the gold and silver of the nation at a fixed price ($25.00/troy oz) and then re-value it when they had almost 7,000 tons to $35.00 an ounce, which with the other 13,000 tons of Gold they took from overrun Europeans, stood the test of time, until 1971, when Nixon ended the Bretton Woods agreement unilaterally.

So, to get to the meat of this piece, one day soon, this power of the Bankers will come to an end – probably VERY badly.

WHY? How? The Internet!

The Internet has changed dozens of industries in the 40years since DARPA (Defence Advanced Research Projects Agency) funded the first basic research into computer communications.

Amazon, Google, Apple, Microsoft, HP, Dell, E-bay, Netflix, MySpace, Facebook, Alibaba et-al. The Internet and these Tech giants have revolutionised whole industries, and the business models that worked before the Internet, have had to be revised, now that potential customers, can meet with potential suppliers electronically. This process is given the grand title of “disintermediation” and it is worrying the Bankers.

Crowd-funding is replacing the traditional role of Banks providing start-up capital; Electronic Stock-brokers are allowing people to trade the markets from home, or wherever their smart-phone happens to be; Digital Money and electronic payments systems initially made Bankers’ life simple, they didn’t even need the printing presses so much, but now with Crypto-currencies, people can trade value without even using their banks – all through the power of the Internet.

The most widely known of these new fangled currencies is Bitcoin, but there are around 80 of these currencies, and their value and power are growing with every passing day. And you can receive FREE Crypto-currencies daily, including Bitcoin from Qoinpro.

Bitcoin is currently valued at over $400, and its two smaller siblings – Litecoin and Feathercoin (which you also receive from Qoinpro) are like Silver and Copper to Bitcoin’s Gold or Britain’s Pounds, shillings and Pence.

Gold and Silver too are not being forgotten in this new world, as organisations are now trading Bitcoins for Silver and Gold making the banking industry all but superfluous in its historical sense. Only the Bullion Vault holders, are doing well, and who are increasingly based in the Far-East as several new vaults have opened there, and just 18months after their opening, they’re almost full to capacity.

As both of these precious metals fall to interim lows, those on the inside of the precious metals markets, are saying that now, as the economy is supposedly on the mend, is exactly the right time to be accumulating.

Many miners too are haemorrhaging as the metal price falls due to paper derivatives being used to manipulate the metal price, but many can’t continue to operate at these levels.

Only the industrial metals miners are keeping supplies coming. Because their precious metals are a by-product of their operation, the price is almost irrelevant to them, as whatever they get is in addition to their industrial mineral operations, but most of the majors who produce the bulk of the metals will either have to cease trading, or close down operations or both.

This is ultimately leading to a supply crunch – particularly in silver.

Silver is both a precious metal and an industrial metal, and demand is soaring.

Every Chinese, Korean and Japanese made i-Phone, Samsung Galaxy, Notepad, Tablet, PC, Nokia, LG, Sony, Toshiba, Canon camera, Nikon, Lumix, Panasonic, MAZDA, Toyota, or British made Ford, Jaguar, Land Rover, or German made BMW, Mini, Mercedes, Audi, or VW… In fact almost every vehicle in the world which is increasingly carrying increasing amounts of electrical and electronic equipment uses silver.

Imagine – China produces 9 million vehicles per year, Britain at its peak produces almost 2million vehicles, and then there’s America, Brazil, France, Italy, Australia, and India as well as all the other smaller nations who build vehicles including Russia and the former Soviet States.

Silver is used in them all. And with digital payments using crypto, how long can the Banks hold out before the system implodes again?

One way to get these Crypto currencies is Qoinpro, who are giving them away free, and will become a coin exchange in the fullness of time charging a small transaction fee as people use their crypto-currencies.

And as for precious metals. China holds just 1% of its $4trillion worth of reserves in Gold. Many believe they will need to have upto 40% of their reserves in Gold. At just 10% that equals $400,000,000,000 worth of Gold at current prices ($1250.00/oz) which would be the equivalent of 320 million troy ounces, or 9,953.11 metric tonnes.

As a result, I believe China will not stop buying Gold until it has around 10,000 metric tonnes.

In 2009, when they last announced their Gold holdings in April, they had just over 1,000 metric tonnes.

Given that they have been buying in increasing amounts and in 2013, that was circa 2,000 metric tonnes, the price longer term is likely to go a lot higher, once their ambitions become more widely known.

And silver which historically has been 1/16th the price of Gold, will likely return to its historical norm.

But perhaps even more, as silver comes out of the ground at just 9:1 it is not outside the bounds of possibility that silver will reach this dizzy height.